BOS
@
1:35p
ATL
Park Factor
1.12×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.564
Temp
87.2°F
Wind
9.2 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 95 | 🥇 S | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.344 | 93.3 | 17.7% | 44.4% | 413 | 27.9% | 25.0% | 60.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 90 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.225 | 92.6 | 17.9% | 27.3% | 402 | 27.9% | 41.7% | 44.2% | 33 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.193 | 94.5 | 16.2% | 27.3% | 394 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 22.0% | 30 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.154 | 90.8 | 9.8% | 16.1% | 405 | 9.3% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 58 | 0.185 | 90.0 | 9.2% | 16.7% | 398 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.193 | 86.3 | 4.5% | 17.9% | 386 | 16.3% | 8.3% | 19.7% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jorge Mateo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.146 | 88.1 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.085 | 90.2 | 4.5% | 14.3% | 380 | 4.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 19 |
| 9 | José Azócar | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.141 | 83.4 | 3.8% | 6.7% | 365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 8 |
Grant Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 23 | 0.201 | 90.9 | 16.5% | 23.5% | 411 | 19.5% | 15.4% | 29.6% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 47 | 0.169 | 90.1 | 10.6% | 15.4% | 391 | 14.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 82 | 0.149 | 86.8 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 364 | 10.0% | 23.1% | 21.7% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.122 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 23.5% | 397 | 7.3% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Mickey Gasper | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 130 | 0.079 | 93.0 | 10.5% | 18.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.111 | 91.3 | 8.2% | 11.8% | 386 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Andruw Monasterio | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 142 | 0.138 | 90.5 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 388 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Sogard | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.083 | 89.3 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.081 | 87.3 | 7.4% | 5.0% | 382 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 27 |