BAL
@
6:40p
TB
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.940
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.262 | 89.2 | 10.4% | 20.0% | 399 | 22.2% | 50.0% | 32.3% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.206 | 94.6 | 12.1% | 20.7% | 394 | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.202 | 92.8 | 10.6% | 25.0% | 405 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 60 | 0.127 | 93.0 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.196 | 89.9 | 9.3% | 17.1% | 389 | 20.0% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Coby Mayo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.147 | 91.1 | 8.4% | 12.5% | 417 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Colton Cowser | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.026 | 86.7 | 9.4% | 7.1% | 394 | 5.9% | 100.0% | 14.1% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.128 | 87.3 | 4.8% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Ward | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.112 | 88.9 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 394 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 24 |
Kyle Bradish
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.223 | 91.8 | 12.4% | 32.1% | 407 | 27.9% | 30.8% | 30.4% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 71 | 0.196 | 89.4 | 9.8% | 21.1% | 396 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.135 | 90.0 | 7.4% | 25.0% | 375 | 14.7% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 44 |
| 4 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.161 | 85.3 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 238 | 0.044 | 83.9 | · | 9.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.078 | 86.7 | 1.8% | 11.5% | 379 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Richie Palacios | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 246 | 0.064 | 85.7 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Walls | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 247 | 0.054 | 82.7 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 254 | 0.023 | 87.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 13 |