BAL
@
—
PIT
Park Factor
0.72×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.720
Temp
63.3°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 13.0% | 17.7% | 410 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 12.0% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 9.8% | 13.4% | 400 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.4% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.9% | 9.6% | 393 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 8.8% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 8.8% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Henry Davis | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 10.4% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Tommy Pham | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 7.9% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 221 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 6.5% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 19 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.193 | 88.8 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 406 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 8.0% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Jordan Westburg | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 133 | 0.192 | 90.2 | 8.2% | 16.0% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.165 | 92.1 | 7.1% | 12.3% | 393 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 7.7% | 13 |
| 4 |
|
Colton Cowser | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 167 | 0.190 | 90.9 | 9.2% | 20.5% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.171 | 87.3 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 202 | 0.133 | 88.8 | 6.8% | 11.2% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 9 |
| 7 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.146 | 89.4 | 6.7% | 8.5% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Carlson | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.134 | 88.4 | 6.3% | 8.6% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Ryan Mountcastle | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.117 | 90.7 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 10 |