⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
BAL
@
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.72×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.720
Temp
63.3°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 58 🟠 C · · 43 0.178 95.8 13.0% 17.7% 410 40.0% 40.0% 12.0% 12
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.157 91.2 9.8% 13.4% 400 33.3% 33.3% 10.4% 16
3 Andrew McCutchen Andrew McCutchen 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.128 89.5 8.9% 9.6% 393 20.0% 20.0% 8.8% 12
4 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 36 ⚪ D · · 175 0.162 87.4 8.8% 9.2% 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 17
5 Henry Davis Henry Davis 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.111 88.6 10.4% 7.7% 404 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 13
6 Tommy Pham Tommy Pham 32 ⚪ D · · 195 0.125 91.6 7.9% 10.0% 418 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 0
7 Joey Bart Joey Bart 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.091 88.4 9.9% 7.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 6
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.130 89.0 7.7% 6.6% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 19
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 228 0.102 88.8 6.5% 5.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 19
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.193 88.8 10.0% 13.0% 406 20.0% 20.0% 8.0% 11
2 Jordan Westburg Jordan Westburg 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 133 0.192 90.2 8.2% 16.0% 397 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 15
3 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 161 0.165 92.1 7.1% 12.3% 393 20.0% 20.0% 7.7% 13
4 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 37 ⚪ D · · 167 0.190 90.9 9.2% 20.5% 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 10
5 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.171 87.3 7.8% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 10
6 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 202 0.133 88.8 6.8% 11.2% 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 9
7 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 28 ⚪ D · · 208 0.146 89.4 6.7% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 18
8 Dylan Carlson Dylan Carlson 26 ⚪ D · · 217 0.134 88.4 6.3% 8.6% 376 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 12
9 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.117 90.7 8.4% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 10
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