⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
BAL
@ 7:40p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.120
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
13.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 74 🟡 B · · 18 0.254 89.2 16.7% 38.5% 386 42.9% 33.3% 28.3% 27
2 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 51 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 73 0.134 93.1 12.9% 11.1% · 5.0% 9.1% 7.0% 22
3 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 116 0.130 89.5 11.5% 15.8% 404 19.0% 8.3% 7.3% 33
4 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 120 0.130 93.6 12.5% 10.5% 400 9.5% 8.3% 6.7% 41
5 Jonathan India Jonathan India 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.146 85.2 6.9% 18.2% 389 11.8% 0.0% 8.2% 14
6 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 131 0.104 88.6 4.2% 10.0% · 9.5% 16.7% 7.2% 37
7 Kyle Isbel Kyle Isbel 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 166 0.129 90.5 6.7% 22.2% 382 10.0% 0.0% 7.6% 19
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.069 93.4 11.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 38
9 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.072 89.5 11.1% 10.0% 400 5.9% 0.0% 6.7% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.268 90.6 12.2% 36.8% 388 31.6% 36.4% 28.1% 38
2 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.239 87.3 10.5% 35.7% 406 22.2% 25.0% 26.1% 35
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 49 ⚪ D · · 79 0.150 93.6 12.5% 23.1% 421 14.3% 16.7% 12.8% 27
4 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.128 95.0 7.0% 11.8% 400 4.8% 0.0% 6.5% 31
5 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.164 87.8 0.0% 4.3% · 4.5% 8.3% 6.9% 44
6 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.021 83.8 11.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 16
7 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 222 0.037 82.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 22
8 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 229 0.070 86.6 2.9% 12.5% 401 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 21
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.020 92.1 3.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 22
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