⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
BAL
@ 7:40p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.96×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.673
Temp
44.5°F
Wind
6.5 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 76 🟡 B · · 14 0.271 89.2 16.7% 41.7% 386 50.0% 40.0% 29.0% 27
2 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 71 0.095 93.1 12.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 23
3 Jonathan India Jonathan India 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 83 0.146 85.2 6.9% 18.2% 389 12.5% 11.1% 10.5% 16
4 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 86 0.139 89.5 11.5% 17.6% 404 20.0% 8.3% 8.0% 31
5 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.139 93.6 12.5% 10.5% 400 10.0% 8.3% 7.1% 41
6 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.108 88.6 4.2% 10.5% · 10.0% 16.7% 7.4% 37
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.074 93.4 11.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 38
8 Kyle Isbel Kyle Isbel 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 128 0.143 90.5 6.7% 22.2% 382 10.5% 0.0% 8.3% 21
9 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 134 0.080 89.5 11.1% 10.0% 400 6.2% 0.0% 6.8% 13
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.280 90.6 12.2% 36.8% 388 33.3% 45.5% 23.7% 38
2 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.258 87.3 10.5% 38.5% 406 25.0% 28.6% 22.9% 33
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.158 93.6 12.5% 25.0% 421 16.7% 20.0% 13.0% 24
4 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 107 0.134 95.0 7.0% 11.8% 400 5.0% 0.0% 5.6% 33
5 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.160 87.8 0.0% 5.0% · 4.8% 8.3% 5.9% 44
6 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.022 83.8 11.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 18
7 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 161 0.037 82.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 24
8 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.076 86.6 2.9% 12.5% 401 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 17
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 171 0.021 92.1 3.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 20
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