BAL
@
7:40p
KC
Park Factor
0.96×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.673
Temp
44.5°F
Wind
6.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Kyle Bradish
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Carter Jensen | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 14 | 0.271 | 89.2 | 16.7% | 41.7% | 386 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 29.0% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 71 | 0.095 | 93.1 | 12.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan India | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 83 | 0.146 | 85.2 | 6.9% | 18.2% | 389 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Salvador Perez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 86 | 0.139 | 89.5 | 11.5% | 17.6% | 404 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.139 | 93.6 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 400 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.108 | 88.6 | 4.2% | 10.5% | · | 10.0% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 37 |
| 7 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.074 | 93.4 | 11.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 38 | |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 128 | 0.143 | 90.5 | 6.7% | 22.2% | 382 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Isaac Collins | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 134 | 0.080 | 89.5 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 400 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 13 |
Seth Lugo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.280 | 90.6 | 12.2% | 36.8% | 388 | 33.3% | 45.5% | 23.7% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.258 | 87.3 | 10.5% | 38.5% | 406 | 25.0% | 28.6% | 22.9% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 56 | 0.158 | 93.6 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 421 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.134 | 95.0 | 7.0% | 11.8% | 400 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Taylor Ward | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.160 | 87.8 | 0.0% | 5.0% | · | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Colton Cowser | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.022 | 83.8 | 11.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Coby Mayo | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.037 | 82.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.076 | 86.6 | 2.9% | 12.5% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 8 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.021 | 92.1 | 3.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 20 |