ATL
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.854
Temp
55.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.316 | 93.1 | · | 43.5% | 413 | 30.3% | 41.7% | 31.7% | 42 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.226 | 95.2 | · | 37.5% | 390 | 19.4% | 20.0% | 25.8% | 29 | |
| 3 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.197 | 86.9 | · | 16.0% | 382 | 21.2% | 33.3% | 18.0% | 48 |
| 4 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.203 | 91.5 | · | 27.8% | 398 | 24.2% | 25.0% | 21.6% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.219 | 89.8 | · | 20.0% | 398 | 10.7% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.131 | 90.7 | · | 13.6% | 398 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.133 | 89.2 | · | 11.8% | 411 | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.155 | 87.2 | · | 10.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 241 | 0.068 | 89.4 | · | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 28 |
Bryce Elder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 24 | 0.205 | 87.0 | · | 17.1% | 390 | 21.2% | 33.3% | 21.4% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 36 | 0.256 | 92.9 | · | 31.2% | 392 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 26.4% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 37 | 0.214 | 83.8 | · | 30.0% | 348 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 23.7% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Naylor | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.129 | 87.3 | · | 21.1% | 402 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Cole Young | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.129 | 88.0 | · | 8.3% | 395 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.099 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 412 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 6.0% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.153 | 90.6 | · | 13.3% | 377 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 30 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.078 | 89.2 | · | 10.0% | 372 | 9.4% | 16.7% | 7.2% | 40 | |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 206 | 0.040 | 86.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 22 |