⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
ATL
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.854
Temp
55.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.316 93.1 · 43.5% 413 30.3% 41.7% 31.7% 42
2 Michael Harris II 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.226 95.2 · 37.5% 390 19.4% 20.0% 25.8% 29
3 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.197 86.9 · 16.0% 382 21.2% 33.3% 18.0% 48
4 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.203 91.5 · 27.8% 398 24.2% 25.0% 21.6% 37
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.219 89.8 · 20.0% 398 10.7% 0.0% 12.3% 11
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.131 90.7 · 13.6% 398 9.1% 8.3% 11.6% 31
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.133 89.2 · 11.8% 411 10.5% 8.3% 8.7% 31
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.155 87.2 · 10.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 40
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.068 89.4 · 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 24 0.205 87.0 · 17.1% 390 21.2% 33.3% 21.4% 26
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 48 ⚪ D · · 36 0.256 92.9 · 31.2% 392 16.7% 8.3% 26.4% 13
3 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 48 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 37 0.214 83.8 · 30.0% 348 8.7% 0.0% 23.7% 17
4 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 31 ⚪ D · · 140 0.129 87.3 · 21.1% 402 11.8% 18.2% 9.2% 37
5 Cole Young Cole Young 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.129 88.0 · 8.3% 395 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 36
6 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.099 89.2 · 0.0% 412 11.1% 16.7% 6.0% 44
7 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.153 90.6 · 13.3% 377 6.1% 8.3% 6.6% 30
8 J.P. Crawford 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.078 89.2 · 10.0% 372 9.4% 16.7% 7.2% 40
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 206 0.040 86.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 22
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