⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
ATL
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.882
Temp
56.2°F
Wind
4.6 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 58 🟠 C · · 8 0.330 93.1 · 41.7% 413 28.1% 41.7% 35.4% 45
2 Michael Harris II 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.220 95.2 · 37.5% 390 20.0% 20.0% 28.4% 33
3 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.216 86.9 · 16.0% 382 18.8% 25.0% 16.4% 49
4 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.197 91.5 · 27.8% 398 21.9% 16.7% 23.1% 37
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.219 89.8 · 20.0% 398 11.1% 0.0% 14.0% 14
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.130 89.2 · 11.8% 411 11.1% 8.3% 7.2% 31
7 Austin Riley Austin Riley 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 128 0.128 90.7 · 13.0% 398 6.2% 0.0% 7.4% 29
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.151 87.2 · 10.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 37
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 182 0.068 89.4 · 11.8% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 27
JR Ritchie
JR Ritchie RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 56 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 9 0.200 87.0 · 17.1% 390 21.9% 41.7% 25.4% 30
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.238 95.7 · 21.1% 409 4.5% 0.0% 21.8% 17
3 Luke Raley Luke Raley 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 56 0.244 92.9 · 31.2% 392 11.8% 0.0% 20.7% 11
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.095 89.2 · 0.0% 412 11.8% 16.7% 9.4% 43
5 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.134 88.0 · 8.3% 395 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 38
6 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 34 ⚪ D · · 86 0.124 87.3 · 21.1% 402 12.5% 18.2% 11.5% 36
7 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.150 90.6 · 13.3% 377 6.2% 8.3% 10.1% 28
8 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 137 0.040 86.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 25
9 J.P. Crawford 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 143 0.113 89.2 · 10.0% 372 6.5% 8.3% 8.6% 41
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