ATL
@
6:40p
MIA
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.026
Wind
0 mph
dome
Sandy Alcantara
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 84 | 🟢 A | · | 🔥 HOT | 3 | 0.225 | 92.8 | 18.6% | 26.1% | 402 | 26.1% | 36.4% | 24.8% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.344 | 93.7 | 16.7% | 41.4% | 413 | 25.5% | 8.3% | 19.9% | 32 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.193 | 94.6 | 16.7% | 23.1% | 397 | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 36 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.154 | 90.9 | 9.9% | 19.4% | 408 | 12.8% | 25.0% | 14.5% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 36 | 0.185 | 89.9 | 8.6% | 17.2% | 398 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.126 | 89.2 | 12.9% | 10.5% | 411 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6 |
| 7 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.085 | 89.9 | 4.3% | 15.4% | 362 | 7.1% | 22.2% | 12.1% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.193 | 86.4 | 4.2% | 15.2% | 386 | 14.9% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 70 | 0.151 | 87.2 | 5.7% | 11.5% | 389 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 38 |
Spencer Strider
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 27 | 0.141 | 91.4 | 11.9% | 16.7% | 391 | 3.7% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Liam Hicks ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.228 | 87.9 | 5.8% | 25.0% | 379 | 20.5% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.162 | 88.6 | 6.9% | 6.7% | 396 | 10.6% | 33.3% | 14.2% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.088 | 87.8 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 374 | 9.4% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Otto Lopez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 71 | 0.158 | 90.4 | 8.8% | 12.5% | 396 | 6.4% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 48 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.089 | 89.8 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Connor Norby | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 78 | 0.137 | 87.2 | 8.2% | 14.3% | 396 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 86 | 0.115 | 89.2 | 4.7% | 12.5% | 415 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.046 | 87.9 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 375 | 4.0% | 25.0% | 6.4% | 24 |