⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
ATL
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.026
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 84 🟢 A · 🔥 HOT 3 0.225 92.8 18.6% 26.1% 402 26.1% 36.4% 24.8% 25
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 75 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 6 0.344 93.7 16.7% 41.4% 413 25.5% 8.3% 19.9% 32
3 Michael Harris II 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 19 0.193 94.6 16.7% 23.1% 397 17.8% 16.7% 13.3% 36
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.154 90.9 9.9% 19.4% 408 12.8% 25.0% 14.5% 32
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 49 ⚪ D · · 36 0.185 89.9 8.6% 17.2% 398 10.3% 11.1% 10.4% 22
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.126 89.2 12.9% 10.5% 411 6.9% 0.0% 7.7% 6
7 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.085 89.9 4.3% 15.4% 362 7.1% 22.2% 12.1% 15
8 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 61 0.193 86.4 4.2% 15.2% 386 14.9% 0.0% 10.6% 41
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 37 ⚪ D · · 70 0.151 87.2 5.7% 11.5% 389 3.2% 9.1% 7.2% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 27 0.141 91.4 11.9% 16.7% 391 3.7% 10.0% 15.3% 11
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 38 0.228 87.9 5.8% 25.0% 379 20.5% 9.1% 17.2% 39
3 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.162 88.6 6.9% 6.7% 396 10.6% 33.3% 14.2% 42
4 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.088 87.8 4.0% 7.7% 374 9.4% 18.2% 11.0% 26
5 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 71 0.158 90.4 8.8% 12.5% 396 6.4% 0.0% 9.3% 48
6 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.089 89.8 5.8% 7.1% 380 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 27
7 Connor Norby Connor Norby 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 78 0.137 87.2 8.2% 14.3% 396 8.9% 9.1% 8.4% 32
8 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 31 ⚪ D · · 86 0.115 89.2 4.7% 12.5% 415 3.7% 0.0% 8.2% 39
9 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.046 87.9 2.4% 0.0% 375 4.0% 25.0% 6.4% 24
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