ATL
@
6:40p
MIA
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.022
Wind
0 mph
dome
Janson Junk
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.225 | 92.8 | 18.6% | 26.1% | 402 | 26.7% | 36.4% | 34.8% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.344 | 93.7 | 16.7% | 44.4% | 413 | 26.1% | 8.3% | 28.7% | 30 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.193 | 94.6 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 397 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 35 | |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.154 | 90.9 | 9.9% | 18.8% | 408 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.185 | 89.9 | 8.6% | 16.0% | 398 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.126 | 89.2 | 12.9% | 11.8% | 411 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 114 | 0.085 | 89.9 | 4.3% | 17.4% | 362 | 7.4% | 22.2% | 17.5% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.193 | 86.4 | 4.2% | 16.1% | 386 | 15.2% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.151 | 87.2 | 5.7% | 13.0% | 389 | 3.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 36 |
Chris Sale
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.162 | 88.6 | 6.9% | 33.3% | 396 | 10.9% | 33.3% | 23.7% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Owen Caissie | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.141 | 91.4 | 11.9% | 18.8% | 391 | 3.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Liam Hicks ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.228 | 87.9 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 379 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.158 | 90.4 | 8.8% | 7.7% | 396 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 46 |
| 5 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.088 | 87.8 | 4.0% | 12.5% | 374 | 9.7% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.089 | 89.8 | 5.8% | 7.7% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Connor Norby | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 167 | 0.137 | 87.2 | 8.2% | 20.0% | 396 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 175 | 0.115 | 89.2 | 4.7% | 20.0% | 415 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 194 | 0.046 | 87.9 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 375 | 4.2% | 33.3% | 6.7% | 25 |