⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
ATL
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.022
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.225 92.8 18.6% 26.1% 402 26.7% 36.4% 34.8% 27
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 75 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 13 0.344 93.7 16.7% 44.4% 413 26.1% 8.3% 28.7% 30
3 Michael Harris II 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 33 0.193 94.6 16.7% 25.0% 397 18.2% 16.7% 19.7% 35
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.154 90.9 9.9% 18.8% 408 10.9% 16.7% 12.7% 31
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 46 ⚪ D · · 100 0.185 89.9 8.6% 16.0% 398 7.9% 0.0% 14.3% 19
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.126 89.2 12.9% 11.8% 411 7.1% 0.0% 9.0% 3
7 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 114 0.085 89.9 4.3% 17.4% 362 7.4% 22.2% 17.5% 14
8 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.193 86.4 4.2% 16.1% 386 15.2% 0.0% 15.2% 39
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 37 ⚪ D · · 155 0.151 87.2 5.7% 13.0% 389 3.3% 9.1% 8.5% 36
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.162 88.6 6.9% 33.3% 396 10.9% 33.3% 23.7% 42
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.141 91.4 11.9% 18.8% 391 3.8% 10.0% 14.6% 13
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.228 87.9 5.8% 14.3% 379 20.9% 9.1% 14.4% 40
4 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.158 90.4 8.8% 7.7% 396 6.5% 0.0% 8.7% 46
5 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.088 87.8 4.0% 12.5% 374 9.7% 18.2% 10.8% 30
6 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.089 89.8 5.8% 7.7% 380 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 30
7 Connor Norby Connor Norby 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 167 0.137 87.2 8.2% 20.0% 396 9.1% 9.1% 9.7% 29
8 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.115 89.2 4.7% 20.0% 415 3.8% 0.0% 9.4% 39
9 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 194 0.046 87.9 2.4% 0.0% 375 4.2% 33.3% 6.7% 25
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