ATL
@
9:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.042
Temp
59.8°F
Wind
3.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.330 | 93.2 | · | 46.2% | 414 | 30.6% | 45.5% | 45.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 3 | 0.216 | 87.1 | · | 18.5% | 386 | 19.4% | 27.3% | 26.0% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.197 | 91.7 | · | 28.6% | 401 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 21.5% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Harris II | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 15 | 0.220 | 95.4 | · | 31.6% | 390 | 17.6% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.219 | 90.0 | · | 16.7% | 398 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 16.5% | 9 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.130 | 89.2 | · | 11.8% | 411 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Riley | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 59 | 0.128 | 90.7 | · | 14.8% | 404 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.151 | 87.4 | · | 10.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.068 | 89.7 | · | 10.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andy Pages | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 36 | 0.197 | 90.7 | · | 30.4% | 386 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 21.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.218 | 93.5 | · | 12.0% | 400 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 46 | 0.163 | 92.5 | · | 22.9% | 409 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.163 | 91.0 | · | 26.1% | 387 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 63 | 0.155 | 92.1 | · | 6.9% | 412 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.130 | 89.0 | · | 11.5% | 397 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Will Smith | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.112 | 89.4 | · | 12.0% | 406 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.091 | 88.4 | · | 13.3% | 388 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 173 | 0.093 | 85.9 | · | 7.7% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 29 |