ATL
@
10:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.047
Temp
59.8°F
Wind
4.6 mph
in
Roof
open
Emmet Sheehan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.330 | 93.5 | · | 46.2% | 414 | 31.4% | 45.5% | 60.7% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 3 | 0.216 | 87.2 | · | 18.5% | 386 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 33.8% | 41 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 19 | 0.220 | 94.8 | · | 31.6% | 390 | 18.2% | 11.1% | 26.2% | 24 | |
| 4 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.197 | 91.7 | · | 28.6% | 401 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 26.2% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.219 | 90.3 | · | 17.4% | 398 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 64 | 0.130 | 89.2 | · | 11.8% | 411 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Riley | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.128 | 90.7 | · | 16.0% | 404 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.151 | 87.4 | · | 10.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.068 | 89.5 | · | 11.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 28 |
Chris Sale
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andy Pages | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 32 | 0.197 | 90.8 | · | 16.7% | 386 | 14.7% | 8.3% | 23.3% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.218 | 93.7 | · | 25.0% | 400 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 47 | 0.163 | 92.4 | · | 33.3% | 409 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.163 | 90.9 | · | 0.0% | 387 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.130 | 89.3 | · | 11.1% | 397 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Will Smith | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.112 | 89.4 | · | 0.0% | 406 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.155 | 92.2 | · | 12.5% | 412 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.091 | 88.4 | · | 9.1% | 388 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 171 | 0.093 | 85.9 | · | 10.0% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 32 |