ATL
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.12×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.229
Temp
78.8°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Grant Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.270 | 90.5 | 11.3% | 42.1% | 399 | 22.2% | 20.0% | 39.2% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 11 | 0.239 | 94.1 | 11.5% | 21.2% | 394 | 17.0% | 23.1% | 27.9% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Bleday | 70 | 🟡 B | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.293 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 31.6% | 389 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 21.2% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.213 | 90.7 | 11.9% | 21.6% | 393 | 10.0% | 15.4% | 25.6% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Spencer Steer | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 59 | 0.175 | 89.8 | 11.1% | 11.8% | 392 | 9.6% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 103 | 0.146 | 90.6 | 10.4% | 14.8% | 383 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.123 | 86.1 | 8.8% | 18.2% | 397 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.138 | 88.5 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.089 | 88.0 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 364 | 4.7% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 8 |
Chris Paddack
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.303 | 93.3 | 11.2% | 36.4% | 414 | 24.1% | 7.7% | 20.7% | 40 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.211 | 93.4 | 11.3% | 28.1% | 401 | 21.2% | 38.5% | 27.9% | 44 | |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 53 | 0.192 | 91.0 | 9.1% | 18.4% | 409 | 11.1% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.163 | 90.3 | 6.2% | 17.2% | 374 | 9.7% | 33.3% | 19.1% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.117 | 89.6 | 9.9% | 9.5% | 413 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Mateo | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.137 | 90.0 | 9.3% | 16.7% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Dominic Smith | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 104 | 0.179 | 89.4 | 8.5% | 16.1% | 397 | 9.3% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.146 | 86.5 | 5.7% | 14.3% | 389 | 14.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 46 |
| 9 |
|
Chadwick Tromp | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 247 | · | 85.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 13 |