ATL
@
—
AZ
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Combined
0.900
Temp
64.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 9.1% | 18.1% | 398 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 11.9% | 19 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 14 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 411 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.9% | 21 | |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 17 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 10.8% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Olson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 10.4% | 16.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 10.7% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 36 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 7.4% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 39 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 6.1% | 7.2% | 380 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 7 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 8 |