⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
AI + Community · 2026 Season Live

The prediction engine
that learns with you.

AI scores every batter. You adjust conviction. Outcomes teach both sides. The first collaborative HR prediction engine — where the model gets sharper because the community is paying attention, and the community gets sharper because the model shows its work.

No black boxes Every score shows its work 40K+ matchups trained
🤖
AI ranked Yordan Alvarez #1 tonight
Score: 97 · vs. G. Kirby (SEA) · Minute Maid Park
S-TIER
👤
12 users bumped Alvarez conviction +2
"Kirby's slider has been flat last 3 starts"
+2 ▲
🤖
Aaron Judge ranked #2 — Yankee Stadium factor
Score: 96 · vs. B. Bello (BOS) · Wind out to RF
S-TIER
Yesterday: 3 of Top 5 went yard
S tier: 34.2% hit rate · A+: 22.8%
3/5
👤
Community consensus: Ohtani underranked tonight
23 adjustments · Average conviction boost: +1.4
HOT
📈
Model recalibrated: bullpen weight increased 4%
Based on 847 matchups with late-inning HR data
UPDATE

Three Forces, One Engine

AI scores. Community adjusts. Outcomes teach both. The prediction flywheel that gets sharper every night.

🤖

AI Engine

Geometric mean matchup probability, weighted by logistic regression against 40K+ historical at-bats.
Matchup CoreHR/FB × HR/FB-A
Park Factor0.78× – 1.32×
Weather Adj.Wind + Temp
Platoon SplitL/R matchup
Bullpen Vuln.Late-inning HR/9
👥

Community Intelligence

Human insight layered on top. Conviction adjustments from people who watch the games, not just the numbers.
Matchups Adjusted83
Avg. Conviction Δ+1.9
Bumped-Up HR Rate13.75%
Baseline HR Rate9.21%
Crowd Edge+4.5%
📈

Outcome Feedback

Every result feeds back. The model recalibrates. You see what hit. Season-long transparency dashboards.
S-Tier Hit Rate34.2%
A+ Hit Rate22.8%
Weight UpdatesWeekly auto
Feedback LoopAI-monitored
History Depth14,330 matchups

Six Home Runs to Freedom

A 6-leg HR parlay at average odds pays ~$25,000 on a $10 bet. The hard part is finding the right six. That's what this engine was built for.

HR 1
HR 2
HR 3
HR 4
?HR 5
?HR 6
Start 4 of 6 ⚾ Freedom 🏆
Build your parlay tonight →

Matchup X-Ray

Savant-grade analytics on every batter-pitcher matchup. Click any row to dive in.

🔴 Batter: Alvarez

xwOBA
100
.554
Barrel %
97
22.7
xSLG
100
.862
Exit Velo
94
94.3
HR/FB
91
34.6%
VS

🔵 Pitcher: Kirby

HR/9
72
1.42
HR/FB-A
68
14.2%
Hard-Hit-A
65
38.1%
Barrel-A
61
8.8%
K Rate
58
22.1%

AI learns. Community adjusts.
Everyone gets sharper together.

Create a free account. See tonight's top 5. Join the flywheel.

LD 3.2.69

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.