ATH
@
7:05p
BAL
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.884
Temp
62.0°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Jacob Lopez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 4 | 0.279 | 89.7 | · | 57.1% | 388 | 22.9% | 14.3% | 37.2% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.162 | 95.2 | · | 6.7% | 397 | 16.2% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 17 | 0.221 | 92.6 | · | 20.0% | 410 | 13.6% | 15.4% | 26.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.166 | 89.9 | · | 25.0% | 429 | 9.1% | 7.7% | 16.3% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.185 | 88.0 | · | 31.2% | 396 | 16.0% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Leody Taveras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 75 | 0.143 | 87.3 | · | 12.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.125 | 87.9 | · | 14.3% | 406 | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 108 | 0.142 | 88.8 | · | 10.0% | 394 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.018 | 92.1 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 21 |
Kyle Bradish
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.248 | 93.1 | · | 32.0% | 412 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 47.1% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 11 | 0.292 | 91.3 | · | 25.0% | 396 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 34.5% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 18 | 0.193 | 91.1 | · | 21.7% | 393 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 31.5% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Max Muncy | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 42 | 0.163 | 92.4 | · | 22.9% | 409 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Brent Rooker | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 54 | 0.111 | 88.1 | · | 30.8% | 384 | 13.0% | 33.3% | 22.9% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 60 | 0.184 | 95.0 | · | 29.4% | 404 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 19.2% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.121 | 90.8 | · | 25.0% | 378 | 3.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.105 | 84.5 | · | 15.0% | 368 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 45 |
| 9 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.100 | 86.4 | · | 7.1% | 395 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 33 |