2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATH · RHB
Zack Gelof

Zack Gelof

RHB
ATH · 48 appearances tracked
9 HRs
18.8% HR Rate
24.7% Avg HR/FB
89.4 Avg EV
0.202 ISO
#10 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-29
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
78
0.199
Avg EV
45
88.8
Barrel%
36
7.3%
HR/FB vs RHP
91
26.2%
Avg HR Dist
60
398
Match%
79
15.8%
Season HR%
18.8%
14D Pace
9.1%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
78
45
36
91
60
79
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 39 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 57.3%
9.0%
9
21.7%
Breaking 30.6%
4.4%
3
26.0%
Offspeed 12.1%
15.8%
2
36.8%
All 100% 8.1% 14 24.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Shane Baz · RHP · ATH
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-3 and 3 walks across 6 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Sutter Health +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather +4
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 7.3 vs
7.3
HR/FB 26.2 vs 9.1 ▲ edge
26.2
9.1
K% 24.8 vs
24.8
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 9 this season · avg 398 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
May 14 Michael McGreevy · Sutter Health Park 103.8 401.0
Jun 13 vs COL · Kyle Freeland 96.5 400
Aug 12 vs TB · Michael Grove 104.9 388
Aug 16 vs TEX · Jakob Junis 103.6 403
HR by month
1
1
2
May Jun Aug
All Appearances 48 tracked · 9 HR · 28 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 vs BAL · Brandon Young 5 98.0 5 BIP
Aug 26 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 4 98.1 4 BIP
Aug 25 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 2 97.6 2 BIP
Aug 23 @ HOU · Cristian Javier 1 105.0 1 BIP
Aug 22 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 2 76.7 2 BIP
Aug 21 @ HOU · Hayden Wesneski 2 102.1 2 BIP
Aug 20 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 3 97.5 3 BIP
Aug 19 @ KC · Seth Lugo 3 102.9 3 BIP
Aug 18 @ KC · Daniel Lynch IV 2 88.0 2 BIP
Aug 17 @ KC · Michael Wacha 2 103.5 2 BIP
Aug 16 vs TEX · Cody Bradford 5 103.6 HR 5 BIP
Aug 12 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 104.9 HR 3 BIP
Jul 9 @ DET · Framber Valdez 1 93.8 1 BIP
Jul 8 @ DET · Troy Melton 2 98.9 2 BIP
Jul 7 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 1 91.3 1 BIP
Jul 5 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 4 78.1 4 BIP
Jun 24 @ SF · Tyler Mahle 0
Jun 23 @ SF · Robbie Ray 1 98.0 1 BIP
Jun 21 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 5 106.7 5 BIP
Jun 20 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 0
Jun 19 vs LAA · José Soriano 3 93.6 3 BIP
Jun 18 vs LAA · LAA Bullpen Proxy 2 104.6 2 BIP
Jun 17 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 96.8 HR 3 BIP
Jun 16 vs PIT · Mitch Keller 3 99.2 HR 3 BIP
Jun 15 vs PIT · Jared Jones 3 100.1 3 BIP
Jun 14 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 3 104.4 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs COL · Kyle Freeland 4 99.5 HR 4 BIP
Jun 12 vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy 2 104.7 2 BIP
Jun 10 vs MIL · Brandon Sproat 2 100.1 2 BIP
Jun 9 vs MIL · Robert Gasser 3 102.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 8 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 3 101.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 7 @ HOU · Mike Burrows 4 103.8 4 BIP
Jun 6 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 85.2 2 BIP
Jun 5 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 67.1 2 BIP
Jun 4 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 96.8 3 BIP
Jun 3 @ CHC · Colin Rea 3 100.8 3 BIP
Jun 2 @ CHC · Jameson Taillon 1 82.2 1 BIP
May 31 vs NYY · Will Warren 3 96.4 3 BIP
May 30 vs NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 84.5 3 BIP
May 29 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 4 104.3 4 BIP
May 27 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 98.6 3 BIP
May 26 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 83.7 4 BIP
May 25 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 1 98.1 1 BIP
May 24 @ SD · Michael King 2 103.5 2 BIP
May 17 vs SF · Adrian Houser 4 104.9 4 BIP
May 14 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 4 103.8 HR 4 BIP
Apr 30 vs KC · Noah Cameron 4 94.7 4 BIP
Apr 24 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 3 108.1 HR 3 BIP
Ballpark Sutter Health Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.237 Wind 14 mph from SSW Temp 73°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p 14 73° +21
8:05p 13 69° +19
9:05p 12 66° +17
10:05p 11 63° +15
11:05p 10 60° +13
+17
Strong green alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
12 mph 16% 9% 33% 9% 33% OPPO PULL Sutter Health Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SSW)
March 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sat 8/29
Dueness now
3.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
10 gm
since his last HR, Aug 16
Season
9 HR
48 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 52 → 52
ISO (Power)
+19.2
Park Factor
+11.6
Barrel Matchup
+11.0
season hr rate
+4.7
HR/FB Matchup
+2.5
Pitcher FIP
+1.3
recent hr density 14d
+1.2
Exit Velocity
+0.8
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Zack Gelof

Will Zack Gelof hit a home run today?

Zack Gelof is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #50 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shane Baz at Sutter Health Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Zack Gelof hit home runs?

Across 48 scored games this season, Zack Gelof has 9 home runs — one every 5.3 games, or about 19% of his scored games.

Has Zack Gelof homered off Shane Baz before?

Not yet — Zack Gelof has faced Shane Baz 6 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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