Zach Mckinstry
LHB
DET
· 10 appearances tracked
0
HRs
0.0%
HR Rate
4.5%
Avg HR/FB
85.1
Avg EV
0.103
ISO
#159
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.095
Avg EV85.6
Barrel%4.6%
HR/FB vs RHP5.7%
Avg HR Dist390
Match%6.9%
Season HR%
0.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-07
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
58.3%
2
Breaking
25.1%
1
Offspeed
16.6%
0
All
100%
2.1%
3
16.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Joe Ryan · RHP · DET
SMALL SAMPLE · 11 PA · since 2023
.273
AVG
.273
SLG
0
HR
3-for-11 across 11 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Comerica Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
4.6
vs
—
HR/FB
5.7
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
16.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
10 tracked · 0 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 4
@ CLE · Foster Griffin
3
92.1
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ SF · JT Brubaker
3
87.3
3 BIP
Aug 5
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
1
87.2
1 BIP
Aug 4
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
96.9
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
2
95.7
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
84.5
1 BIP
Jul 21
@ CHC · David Peterson
1
90.4
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
97.3
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
94.6
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Ballpark
Comerica Park · open-air
Park Factor
0.931
Wind
7 mph from ENE
Temp
76°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
3:10p
7 →
76°
-2
4:10p
7 →
77°
-2
5:10p
7 →
77°
-2
6:10p
6 →
74°
-4
7:10p
5 →
72°
-5
-3
Neutral alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from ENE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
no HRs yet
Season
0 HR
10 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 25 → 25
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Zach Mckinstry
Will Zach Mckinstry hit a home run today?
Zach Mckinstry is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #165 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Joe Ryan at Comerica Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
Has Zach Mckinstry homered off Joe Ryan before?
Not yet — Zach Mckinstry has faced Joe Ryan 11 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.