Zach McKinstry
LHB
DET
· 83 appearances tracked
4
HRs
4.8%
HR Rate
7.0%
Avg HR/FB
84.8
Avg EV
0.105
ISO
#41
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.8%
2
Breaking
25.8%
1
Offspeed
16.4%
0
All
100%
2.2%
3
15.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
15.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
83 tracked · 4 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 26
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
3
91.2
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs TB · Casey Legumina
3
103.5
3 BIP
Aug 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
88.1
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ KC · Michael Wacha
2
92.4
2 BIP
Aug 19
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
1
73.8
1 BIP
Aug 18
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
75.7
2 BIP
Aug 17
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
95.8
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs CWS · Sean Burke
2
89.7
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs CWS · Sean Newcomb
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 11
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
88.7
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
96.5
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
98.8
4 BIP
Aug 6
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
93.8
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ ATH · Gage Jump
5
103.7
5 BIP
Jul 28
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
4
98.5
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs KC · Michael Wacha
4
99.7
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs KC · Beck Way
3
101.4
3 BIP
Jul 23
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
3
93.9
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ CHC · Colin Rea
4
96.5
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
93.6
3 BIP
Jul 11
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
97.4
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs ATH · José Suarez
2
101.2
HR
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
81.6
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
86.6
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
98.0
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
103.3
4 BIP
Jul 2
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
90.7
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ NYY · Will Warren
4
94.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
4
87.5
4 BIP
Jun 29
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
5
93.8
5 BIP
Jun 28
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
5
104.8
HR
5 BIP
Jun 27
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
94.7
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
97.8
2 BIP
Jun 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
2
82.6
2 BIP
Jun 24
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
91.0
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
4
97.7
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
91.0
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs CWS · Sean Newcomb
1
89.7
1 BIP
Jun 16
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
2
89.9
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
96.4
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
85.6
3 BIP
Jun 11
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
93.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
3
101.3
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
100.6
2 BIP
Jun 7
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
2
98.8
2 BIP
Jun 5
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
91.8
2 BIP
Jun 2
@ TB · Steven Matz
3
92.4
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ TB · Griffin Jax
4
99.8
4 BIP
May 31
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
79.0
2 BIP
May 29
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
2
106.0
2 BIP
May 28
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
1
91.4
1 BIP
May 27
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
101.6
2 BIP
May 26
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
95.6
3 BIP
May 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
4
89.7
4 BIP
May 17
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
93.5
4 BIP
May 16
vs TOR · Mason Fluharty
4
82.3
4 BIP
May 15
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
91.8
2 BIP
May 14
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
4
101.9
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs MIL · Chad Patrick
0
—
—
Apr 21
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
0
—
—
Apr 20
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Apr 19
@ BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Apr 18
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Apr 17
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
0
—
—
Apr 15
vs KC · Seth Lugo
1
81.1
1 BIP
Apr 14
vs KC · Cole Ragans
3
89.9
3 BIP
Apr 12
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
95.6
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs MIA · Janson Junk
3
86.8
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIN · Mick Abel
2
63.6
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
4
96.8
4 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
2
93.9
2 BIP
Apr 6
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
101.2
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
Apr 4
vs STL · Dustin May
3
102.2
HR
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
Mar 31
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
2
91.6
2 BIP
Mar 30
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
0
—
—
Mar 28
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
1
100.7
1 BIP
Mar 27
@ SD · Michael King
2
89.3
2 BIP
Mar 26
@ SD · Nick Pivetta
0
—
—
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.92×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
12 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
23 gm
since his last HR, Jul 9
Season
4 HR
83 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 3 gaps · median 12 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Zach McKinstry
Will Zach McKinstry hit a home run today?
Zach McKinstry is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 4 times in 83 scored games (about 5% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Zach McKinstry hit home runs?
Across 83 scored games this season, Zach McKinstry has 4 home runs — one every 20.8 games, or about 5% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.