Yordan Álvarez
LHB
HOU
· 16 appearances tracked
4
HRs
25.0%
HR Rate
27.6%
Avg HR/FB
94.4
Avg EV
0.312
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.6%
21
Breaking
26.8%
11
Offspeed
18.6%
4
All
100%
16.8%
36
18.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
18.0
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
4 this season · avg 431 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 27
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
—
110.0
448.0
Jun 12
@ KC · Mason Black
—
108.7
419
Jul 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
—
109.1
427
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
16 tracked · 4 HR · 15 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 18
vs LAA · George Klassen
2
100.2
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
93.5
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
5
118.5
5 BIP
Aug 9
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
106.0
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ SD · Robbie Ray
4
106.9
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
97.5
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
110.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
3
109.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 27
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
102.9
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
93.9
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ KC · Luinder Avila
5
108.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jun 8
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
1
104.3
1 BIP
May 28
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 27
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
110.0
HR
3 BIP
May 26
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
3
112.2
HR
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
2.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Jul 28
Season
4 HR
16 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 3 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Yordan Álvarez
Will Yordan Álvarez hit a home run today?
Yordan Álvarez is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 4 times in 16 scored games (about 25% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Yordan Álvarez hit home runs?
Across 16 scored games this season, Yordan Álvarez has 4 home runs — one every 4.0 games, or about 25% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.