Yainer Diaz
RHB
HOU
· 84 appearances tracked
9
HRs
10.7%
HR Rate
15.6%
Avg HR/FB
87.6
Avg EV
0.133
ISO
#14
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.155
Avg EV88.0
Barrel%6.7%
HR/FB vs LHP12.5%
Avg HR Dist392
Match%14.0%
Season HR%
10.6%
14D Pace
14.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
50.2%
7
Breaking
34.3%
1
Offspeed
15.5%
2
All
100%
5.5%
10
15.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Zac Thornton · LHP · HOU
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Zac Thornton in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Citi Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.7
vs
—
HR/FB
12.5
vs
15.6 ▼ risk
K%
15.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
84 tracked · 9 HR · 6 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
@ NYM · Christian Scott
4
103.7
4 BIP
Aug 27
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
4
107.6
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ NYY · Will Warren
4
105.0
HR
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
100.2
1 BIP
Aug 21
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
101.4
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs LAA · George Klassen
3
106.9
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
98.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
102.4
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
0
—
—
Aug 9
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
102.6
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ SD · Robbie Ray
2
74.8
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs TOR · Jameson Taillon
4
97.2
4 BIP
Aug 4
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
4
103.6
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
101.3
2 BIP
Aug 1
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
5
104.9
HR
5 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
5
107.5
HR
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Jul 27
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jul 26
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
3
103.0
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
95.1
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
107.1
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs MIA · Janson Junk
3
110.3
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
104.4
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
98.1
4 BIP
Jul 11
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
98.9
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
106.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
91.5
3 BIP
Jul 6
@ WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
102.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
103.5
HR
4 BIP
Jul 3
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
109.0
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
1
80.8
1 BIP
Jun 30
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
3
99.7
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
3
92.2
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ DET · Framber Valdez
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
106.7
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
97.7
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
4
106.3
HR
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
92.1
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
89.0
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
109.5
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs DET · Framber Valdez
3
85.2
3 BIP
May 28
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
0
—
—
May 27
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
0
—
—
May 26
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
0
—
—
May 22
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 18
@ MIN · Kendry Rojas
0
—
—
May 13
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
0
—
—
May 12
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
0
—
—
May 11
vs SEA · George Kirby
0
—
—
May 10
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
0
—
—
May 9
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
May 6
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
0
—
—
May 5
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
0
—
—
May 4
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0
—
—
May 3
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
0
—
—
May 2
@ BOS · Connelly Early
4
99.3
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
8
109.6
8 BIP
Apr 29
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
97.0
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
102.4
2 BIP
Apr 24
vs NYY · Will Warren
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ CLE · Parker Messick
4
99.8
4 BIP
Apr 20
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
5
103.5
5 BIP
Apr 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
108.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs STL · Andre Pallante
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
Apr 16
vs COL · Juan Mejia
2
90.5
2 BIP
Apr 15
vs COL · Jose Quintana
4
98.7
4 BIP
Apr 13
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
107.4
3 BIP
Apr 12
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
105.9
HR
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
3
91.4
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
0
—
—
Apr 7
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
3
101.3
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
99.6
4 BIP
Apr 5
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
6
108.3
6 BIP
Apr 4
@ ATH · Luis Morales
5
106.3
5 BIP
Apr 1
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
4
98.5
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
4
99.2
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
91.9
3 BIP
Mar 27
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
3
94.9
3 BIP
Mar 26
vs LAA · José Soriano
1
93.3
1 BIP
Ballpark
Citi Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.931
Wind
12 mph from WSW
Temp
78°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
3:10p
12 ←
78°
+7
4:10p
13 ←
79°
+6
5:10p
13 ←
79°
+3
6:10p
11 ←
78°
+0
7:10p
8 ←
78°
-2
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from W)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.20×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
10 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 25
Season
9 HR
84 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 8 gaps · median 10 gm · MAD ± 5.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 39 → 39
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Yainer Diaz
Will Yainer Diaz hit a home run today?
Yainer Diaz is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #126 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Zac Thornton at Citi Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Yainer Diaz hit home runs?
Across 84 scored games this season, Yainer Diaz has 9 home runs — one every 9.3 games, or about 11% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.