Xavier Edwards
SHB
MIA
· 131 appearances tracked
5
HRs
3.8%
HR Rate
8.6%
Avg HR/FB
87.7
Avg EV
0.121
ISO
#22
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.096
Avg EV86.7
Barrel%4.5%
HR/FB vs LHP19.1%
Avg HR Dist396
Match%9.3%
Season HR%
3.8%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.9%
5
Breaking
27.9%
1
Offspeed
19.1%
0
All
100%
3.3%
6
13.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Andrew Alvarez · LHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
.500
SLG
0
HR
3-for-6 across 6 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Nationals +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +6
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
4.5
vs
—
HR/FB
19.1
vs
9.4 ▲ edge
K%
13.2
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
131 tracked · 5 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
83.3
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ WSH · Jackson Kent
4
95.6
4 BIP
Aug 26
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
4
99.7
4 BIP
Aug 25
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
4
106.4
4 BIP
Aug 24
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
88.7
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs WSH · Jackson Kent
4
102.6
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
103.1
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs WSH · Brad Lord
3
87.9
3 BIP
Aug 19
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
4
99.2
4 BIP
Aug 18
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
96.2
1 BIP
Aug 17
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
100.9
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
92.6
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ CIN · Brady Singer
5
107.6
5 BIP
Aug 14
@ CIN · Chase Burns
3
97.7
3 BIP
Aug 13
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
98.5
2 BIP
Aug 12
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
4
102.5
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
97.5
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
91.5
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 7
vs LAA · George Klassen
5
97.8
5 BIP
Aug 6
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
98.0
2 BIP
Aug 5
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
104.3
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
4
99.9
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
5
91.4
5 BIP
Jul 31
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
3
75.4
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
83.5
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
101.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
106.4
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
86.0
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
4
98.8
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs SD · Germán Márquez
2
93.2
2 BIP
Jul 22
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
99.6
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
69.9
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy
1
83.8
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
93.3
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
96.9
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
94.6
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs CLE · Parker Messick
4
81.9
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
95.8
4 BIP
Jul 8
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
85.0
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ ATH · Gage Jump
3
103.2
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
3
99.0
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
3
94.0
3 BIP
Jul 2
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
94.3
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
1
89.2
1 BIP
Jun 30
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
6
91.7
6 BIP
Jun 29
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
5
95.7
5 BIP
Jun 28
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
100.1
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
100.0
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
92.6
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
95.1
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
90.4
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
93.5
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
5
93.6
5 BIP
Jun 17
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
98.7
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
93.6
1 BIP
Jun 14
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
95.1
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
108.6
4 BIP
Jun 11
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
89.8
4 BIP
Jun 10
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
1
76.4
1 BIP
Jun 9
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs TB · Griffin Jax
2
102.3
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
77.8
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
89.7
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
4
95.5
4 BIP
Jun 2
@ WSH · Richard Lovelady
3
89.9
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
103.1
3 BIP
May 31
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
4
99.3
4 BIP
May 30
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
85.5
2 BIP
May 29
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
4
103.9
4 BIP
May 27
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
104.9
3 BIP
May 26
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
95.8
2 BIP
May 25
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
4
99.4
4 BIP
May 24
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
94.3
3 BIP
May 23
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
89.8
3 BIP
May 22
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
3
83.5
3 BIP
May 21
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
85.8
3 BIP
May 20
vs ATL · Chris Sale
4
90.5
4 BIP
May 19
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
4
101.2
HR
4 BIP
May 18
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
4
101.2
HR
4 BIP
May 17
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
103.0
4 BIP
May 16
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
95.4
4 BIP
May 15
@ TB · Ian Seymour
3
97.7
3 BIP
May 13
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
4
98.9
4 BIP
May 12
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
3
92.0
3 BIP
May 10
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
98.5
2 BIP
May 9
vs WSH · Zack Littell
4
105.6
HR
4 BIP
May 8
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
2
103.9
HR
2 BIP
May 7
vs BAL · Cade Povich
1
32.6
1 BIP
May 6
vs BAL · Brandon Young
4
102.6
4 BIP
May 5
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
83.5
3 BIP
May 4
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
101.5
4 BIP
May 3
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
81.3
3 BIP
May 2
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
102.4
HR
4 BIP
May 1
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
5
93.9
5 BIP
Apr 29
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
4
95.9
4 BIP
Apr 28
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
3
99.8
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
88.0
1 BIP
Apr 26
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
100.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ SF · Robbie Ray
2
81.3
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
105.7
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
4
98.4
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs STL · Dustin May
4
99.2
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
99.2
2 BIP
Apr 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
91.8
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
94.5
3 BIP
Apr 15
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
101.7
4 BIP
Apr 14
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
3
95.7
3 BIP
Apr 13
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
98.2
3 BIP
Apr 12
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
4
98.5
4 BIP
Apr 11
@ DET · Casey Mize
4
91.6
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ DET · Keider Montero
2
94.5
2 BIP
Apr 9
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
96.8
2 BIP
Apr 8
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
99.0
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
93.1
4 BIP
Apr 6
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
2
98.9
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ NYY · Max Fried
4
100.6
4 BIP
Apr 4
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
4
97.7
4 BIP
Apr 1
vs CWS · Shane Smith
2
97.0
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
4
99.6
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs CWS · Davis Martin
3
100.6
3 BIP
Mar 29
vs COL · Jose Quintana
3
99.5
3 BIP
Mar 28
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
101.0
4 BIP
Mar 27
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
4
94.9
4 BIP
Ballpark
Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.202
Wind
10 mph from SW
Temp
86°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:15p
10 ↑
86°
+17
1:15p
10 ↑
86°
+17
2:15p
10 ↑
86°
+17
3:15p
9 ↑
87°
+17
4:15p
7 ↑
88°
+15
+17
Strong green alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
14.17×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
85 gm
since his last HR, May 19
Season
5 HR
131 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 35 → 35
Park Factor
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Xavier Edwards
Will Xavier Edwards hit a home run today?
Xavier Edwards is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #188 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Andrew Alvarez at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Xavier Edwards hit home runs?
Across 131 scored games this season, Xavier Edwards has 5 home runs — one every 26.2 games, or about 4% of his scored games.
Has Xavier Edwards homered off Andrew Alvarez before?
Not yet — Xavier Edwards has faced Andrew Alvarez 6 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.