2026
Xander Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts

SD · 150 appearances tracked
12 HRs
8.0% HR Rate
14.8% Avg HR/FB
88.5 Avg EV
0.121 ISO
#27 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-06
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
19
0.113
Avg EV
60
89.6
Barrel%
26
6.5%
HR/FB vs RHP
71
17.1%
Avg HR Dist
74
402
Match%
38
10.1%
Season HR%
—
8.0%
14D Pace
—
20.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
19
60
26
71
74
38
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 28 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-18
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 61.8%
6.6%
9
11.5%
Breaking 27.9%
3.7%
3
25.4%
Offspeed 10.2%
2.8%
1
35.5%
All 100% 5.5% 13 17.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Dustin May · RHP · SD
24 PA · since 2026
.125
AVG
.500
SLG
3
HR
3-for-24 with 3 homers across 24 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Petco Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon — Weather +3
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel% 6.5 vs —
6.5
HR/FB 17.1 vs 10.9 ▲ edge
17.1
10.9
K% 17.9 vs —
17.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 12 this season · avg 375 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 23 Ryan Feltner · Coors Field — 104.2 375.0
HR by month
1
Apr
All Appearances 150 tracked · 12 HR · 3 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 26 vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 1 102.5 HR 1 BIP
Sep 25 vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 2 105.8 2 BIP
Sep 24 @ LAD · Tyler Glasnow 3 91.2 3 BIP
Sep 23 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1 104.2 1 BIP
Sep 22 @ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy 3 106.0 3 BIP
Sep 20 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 3 99.3 3 BIP
Sep 18 vs MIA · Tyler Phillips 3 97.6 3 BIP
Sep 17 @ COL · Tanner Gordon 3 108.3 HR 3 BIP
Sep 16 @ COL · Mason Adams 2 97.7 2 BIP
Sep 15 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 2 107.9 2 BIP
Sep 14 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 3 112.0 3 BIP
Sep 13 @ SF · Logan Webb 2 91.7 2 BIP
Sep 12 @ SF · Cesar Perdomo 5 106.0 5 BIP
Sep 11 @ SF · Anthony Molina 3 96.4 3 BIP
Sep 9 vs WSH · Jackson Kent 4 99.5 4 BIP
Sep 8 vs WSH · Riley Cornelio 2 103.7 2 BIP
Sep 7 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 2 108.0 2 BIP
Sep 6 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 109.5 3 BIP
Sep 5 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 3 102.4 3 BIP
Sep 4 vs NYY · Max Fried 2 72.4 2 BIP
Sep 2 @ CIN · Brandon Williamson 3 103.1 3 BIP
Sep 1 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 2 98.3 2 BIP
Aug 31 @ CIN · Brady Singer 2 104.2 2 BIP
Aug 30 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 104.2 3 BIP
Aug 28 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 4 108.0 4 BIP
Aug 26 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 3 101.2 3 BIP
Aug 25 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 3 97.8 3 BIP
Aug 24 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 102.8 3 BIP
Aug 23 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 104.1 3 BIP
Aug 22 vs MIN · Dean Kremer 3 106.2 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 2 90.7 2 BIP
Aug 19 @ NYM · Robert Stock 1 107.5 1 BIP
Aug 18 @ NYM · Zac Thornton 4 103.7 4 BIP
Aug 17 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 2 89.3 2 BIP
Aug 16 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 104.8 2 BIP
Aug 15 @ CLE · Joey Cantillo 3 96.1 3 BIP
Aug 14 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 2 109.4 HR 2 BIP
Aug 12 vs MIL · Dustin May 4 105.1 HR 4 BIP
Aug 11 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 3 102.6 3 BIP
Aug 10 vs MIL · Logan Henderson 0 — —
Aug 9 vs HOU · Cristian Javier 3 100.9 3 BIP
Aug 8 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 2 108.5 2 BIP
Aug 7 vs HOU · Ronel Blanco 4 100.7 4 BIP
Aug 6 @ AZ · Kohl Drake 3 95.8 3 BIP
Aug 5 @ AZ · Mitch Bratt 1 99.4 1 BIP
Aug 4 @ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez 3 104.6 3 BIP
Aug 3 @ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 2 102.2 2 BIP
Aug 2 vs SF · Landen Roupp 1 94.3 1 BIP
Aug 1 vs SF · Tyler Mahle 3 98.8 3 BIP
Jul 31 vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt 3 105.1 3 BIP
Jul 30 vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy 4 102.2 4 BIP
Jul 29 vs COL · Gabriel Hughes 2 96.6 2 BIP
Jul 28 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 94.2 3 BIP
Jul 25 @ MIA · Eury Pérez 4 108.5 4 BIP
Jul 24 @ MIA · Ryan Gusto 2 101.7 2 BIP
Jul 23 @ ATL · Chris Sale 3 92.0 3 BIP
Jul 22 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 2 104.3 2 BIP
Jul 21 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 3 102.3 3 BIP
Jul 20 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 4 98.8 4 BIP
Jul 19 @ KC · Noah Cameron 4 111.0 4 BIP
Jul 18 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 1 62.5 1 BIP
Jul 17 @ KC · Seth Lugo 5 101.6 5 BIP
Jul 12 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 101.4 3 BIP
Jul 11 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 1 100.0 1 BIP
Jul 10 vs TOR · Shane Bieber 4 103.2 HR 4 BIP
Jul 9 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 1 97.0 1 BIP
Jul 8 vs AZ · Jose Cabrera 4 102.5 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 2 97.5 2 BIP
Jul 6 vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 0 — —
Jul 5 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 2 94.9 2 BIP
Jul 4 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1 102.2 1 BIP
Jul 3 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 4 102.9 4 BIP
Jul 2 @ LAD · Roki Sasaki 3 107.1 3 BIP
Jul 1 @ CHC · Colin Rea 1 86.7 1 BIP
Jun 30 @ CHC · Matthew Boyd 4 100.9 4 BIP
Jun 29 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 101.5 3 BIP
Jun 28 vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan 3 106.6 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3 95.0 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs LAD · Roki Sasaki 3 98.7 3 BIP
Jun 24 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 4 110.4 4 BIP
Jun 23 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 1 86.1 1 BIP
Jun 22 vs ATL · Grant Holmes 1 87.0 1 BIP
Jun 21 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 2 109.9 2 BIP
Jun 20 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 3 94.8 3 BIP
Jun 19 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 2 97.4 2 BIP
Jun 17 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 4 103.6 4 BIP
Jun 16 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 88.7 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ STL · Dustin May 1 66.0 1 BIP
Jun 14 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 97.2 3 BIP
Jun 13 @ BAL · Trey Gibson 0 — —
Jun 12 @ BAL · Shane Baz 3 108.5 3 BIP
Jun 8 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 102.5 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs NYM · Huascar Brazobán 3 102.0 3 BIP
Jun 6 vs NYM · Nolan McLean 1 108.2 1 BIP
Jun 5 vs NYM · Christian Scott 2 99.7 2 BIP
Jun 4 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 100.4 3 BIP
Jun 3 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 2 97.9 2 BIP
Jun 2 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 0 — —
May 31 @ WSH · Zack Littell 3 85.2 3 BIP
May 30 @ WSH · Foster Griffin 3 104.7 HR 3 BIP
May 29 @ WSH · Paxton Schultz 4 101.4 4 BIP
May 27 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 2 104.8 2 BIP
May 26 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 4 99.3 4 BIP
May 25 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 101.1 4 BIP
May 24 vs ATH · Luis Medina 3 85.7 3 BIP
May 22 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 79.6 3 BIP
May 20 vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 102.3 3 BIP
May 19 vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan 3 94.4 3 BIP
May 18 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2 102.8 2 BIP
May 17 @ SEA · George Kirby 1 90.5 1 BIP
May 16 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 96.7 3 BIP
May 15 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 106.3 4 BIP
May 14 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 3 94.1 3 BIP
May 13 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 2 89.4 2 BIP
May 12 @ MIL · Brandon Sproat 3 94.4 3 BIP
May 10 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 3 89.5 3 BIP
May 9 vs STL · Dustin May 3 98.1 3 BIP
May 8 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 2 97.3 2 BIP
May 7 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 81.9 2 BIP
May 6 @ SF · Adrian Houser 1 104.8 HR 1 BIP
May 5 @ SF · Logan Webb 4 103.2 HR 4 BIP
May 4 @ SF · Trevor McDonald 3 97.8 3 BIP
May 3 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 4 104.4 4 BIP
May 2 vs CWS · Sean Burke 0 — —
May 1 vs CWS · Noah Schultz 2 86.5 2 BIP
Apr 29 vs CHC · Jameson Taillon 3 80.5 3 BIP
Apr 28 vs CHC · Edward Cabrera 1 108.3 HR 1 BIP
Apr 27 vs CHC · Matthew Boyd 5 100.6 5 BIP
Apr 26 @ AZ · Ryne Nelson 3 94.2 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 0 — —
Apr 23 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 3 104.2 HR 3 BIP
Apr 22 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 106.8 4 BIP
Apr 19 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 1 101.2 1 BIP
Apr 18 @ LAA · Yusei Kikuchi 4 101.3 4 BIP
Apr 17 @ LAA · José Soriano 2 94.3 2 BIP
Apr 16 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 100.4 3 BIP
Apr 15 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 104.0 HR 4 BIP
Apr 14 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 4 110.4 4 BIP
Apr 12 vs COL · Kyle Freeland 1 77.5 1 BIP
Apr 11 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 0 — —
Apr 10 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 98.4 4 BIP
Apr 8 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 4 105.6 4 BIP
Apr 7 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 3 105.3 HR 3 BIP
Apr 6 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 4 101.4 4 BIP
Apr 5 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 3 99.6 3 BIP
Apr 4 @ BOS · Connelly Early 3 93.5 3 BIP
Apr 1 vs SF · Adrian Houser 3 90.3 3 BIP
Mar 31 vs SF · Logan Webb 3 104.9 3 BIP
Mar 30 vs SF · Landen Roupp 4 101.5 4 BIP
Mar 28 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 103.7 4 BIP
Ballpark Petco Park · open-air
Park Factor 0.897 Wind 5 mph from NW Temp 92°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:30p 5 ↙ 92° -4
7:30p 3 ↙ 90° -3
8:30p 3 ↙ 87° -3
9:30p 3 ↙ 83° -3
10:30p 3 ↙ 79° -3
-3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
3 mph 0% 0% 8% 31% 62% OPPO PULL Petco Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from WNW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 33 → 33
ISO (Power)
+12.6
Barrel Matchup
+9.8
season hr rate
+2.3
Pitcher FIP
+2.0
Park Factor
+1.8
recent hr density 14d
+1.8
HR/FB Matchup
+1.6
Exit Velocity
+1.0
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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Xander Bogaerts

Will Xander Bogaerts hit a home run today?

Xander Bogaerts is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #30 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Dustin May at Petco Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Xander Bogaerts hit home runs?

Across 150 scored games this season, Xander Bogaerts has 12 home runs — one every 12.5 games, or about 8% of his scored games.

Has Xander Bogaerts homered off Dustin May before?

Yes — Xander Bogaerts has taken Dustin May deep 3 times in 24 career plate appearances against him.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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