Troy Johnston
LHB
COL
· 92 appearances tracked
2
HRs
2.2%
HR Rate
10.2%
Avg HR/FB
89.2
Avg EV
0.140
ISO
#42
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.118
Avg EV89.6
Barrel%4.2%
HR/FB vs RHP6.1%
Avg HR Dist411
Match%7.4%
Season HR%
2.2%
14D Pace
14.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
47.7%
1
Breaking
30.5%
3
Offspeed
21.8%
0
All
100%
2.5%
4
16.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Tyler Mahle · RHP · COL
15 PA · since 2026
.333
AVG
.333
SLG
0
HR
3-for-9 and 3 walks across 15 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Truist +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
4.2
vs
—
HR/FB
6.1
vs
14.0 ▼ risk
K%
16.9
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
92 tracked · 2 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 27
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
2
94.2
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ WSH · Matt Waldron
4
101.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
89.9
2 BIP
Aug 22
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
98.6
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
1
92.6
1 BIP
Aug 16
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
4
99.8
4 BIP
Aug 14
@ SF · Landen Roupp
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
0
—
—
Aug 10
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
95.3
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
92.5
2 BIP
Aug 3
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
92.2
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
83.7
2 BIP
Jul 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ SD · Michael King
4
91.2
4 BIP
Jul 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
95.0
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 21
vs WSH · Carson Palmquist
4
99.8
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs CIN · Hunter Greene
3
106.2
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
98.2
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
100.0
3 BIP
Jul 12
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
2
99.4
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
102.1
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ SF · Robbie Ray
0
—
—
Jul 9
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
0
—
—
Jul 8
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
1
95.7
1 BIP
Jul 6
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
86.8
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
3
91.1
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs SF · Robbie Ray
1
97.5
1 BIP
Jul 2
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
4
104.9
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
0
—
—
Jun 29
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
85.5
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
102.3
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIN · Mike Paredes
2
87.5
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
4
102.4
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
1
101.1
1 BIP
Jun 20
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
71.4
1 BIP
Jun 16
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
81.6
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
99.0
HR
5 BIP
Jun 13
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
3
100.6
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ ATH · Gage Jump
4
99.2
4 BIP
Jun 11
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
4
101.3
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs CHC · Colin Rea
5
102.2
5 BIP
Jun 7
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
93.8
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
5
97.2
5 BIP
Jun 3
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
101.4
4 BIP
Jun 1
@ LAA · José Soriano
4
103.3
4 BIP
May 31
vs SF · Robbie Ray
5
107.9
5 BIP
May 30
vs SF · Adrian Houser
4
104.5
4 BIP
May 29
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
99.0
3 BIP
May 27
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
4
98.8
4 BIP
May 26
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
98.9
3 BIP
May 25
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
103.8
3 BIP
May 24
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
88.9
2 BIP
May 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
2
96.4
2 BIP
May 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
101.0
3 BIP
May 20
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
84.0
3 BIP
May 19
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
3
98.5
3 BIP
May 18
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
0
—
—
May 17
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
90.2
3 BIP
May 15
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
80.2
2 BIP
May 14
@ PIT · Mason Montgomery
3
101.5
3 BIP
May 13
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
92.3
4 BIP
May 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
1
79.3
1 BIP
May 10
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
May 9
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
97.4
3 BIP
May 8
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
103.7
1 BIP
May 7
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
99.5
2 BIP
May 6
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
100.7
3 BIP
May 5
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
0
—
—
May 3
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
2
99.4
2 BIP
May 2
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
84.0
2 BIP
May 1
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
4
104.8
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
98.4
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ CIN · Brandon Williamson
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
101.2
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
6
104.9
6 BIP
Apr 25
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
102.9
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs SD · Matt Waldron
4
100.7
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs SD · Walker Buehler
2
95.3
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
89.3
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
99.9
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
103.5
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
99.5
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
93.2
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ HOU · Ryan Weiss
3
103.9
3 BIP
Mar 28
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
99.4
2 BIP
Ballpark
Truist Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.064
Wind
6 mph from ESE
Temp
84°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
6 ↓
84°
-2
2:35p
5 ↓
86°
-1
3:35p
4 ↓
85°
-1
4:35p
3 ↓
85°
+1
5:35p
3 ↓
85°
+1
+0
Neutral alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from SE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
since his last HR, Aug 26
Season
2 HR
92 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 36 → 36
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
season hr rate
Common questions about Troy Johnston
Will Troy Johnston hit a home run today?
Troy Johnston is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #145 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Tyler Mahle at Truist Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Troy Johnston hit home runs?
Across 92 scored games this season, Troy Johnston has 2 home runs — one every 46.0 games, or about 2% of his scored games.
Has Troy Johnston homered off Tyler Mahle before?
Not yet — Troy Johnston has faced Tyler Mahle 15 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.