Trevor Larnach
LHB
MIN
· 105 appearances tracked
10
HRs
9.5%
HR Rate
12.5%
Avg HR/FB
86.9
Avg EV
0.146
ISO
#16
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.156
Avg EV87.7
Barrel%8.0%
HR/FB vs RHP15.5%
Avg HR Dist395
Match%9.8%
Season HR%
9.5%
14D Pace
11.1%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
48.7%
7
Breaking
30.7%
3
Offspeed
20.7%
1
All
100%
7.5%
11
17.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Jackson Jobe · RHP · MIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-2 across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Target Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather +2
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.0
vs
—
HR/FB
15.5
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
17.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
105 tracked · 10 HR · 5 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
vs CWS · Jordan Hicks
3
101.8
3 BIP
Aug 29
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
2
91.9
2 BIP
Aug 28
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
4
98.6
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
109.9
HR
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
Aug 22
@ SD · Casey Mize
4
92.5
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ SD · SD Bullpen Proxy
2
102.0
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver
1
93.0
1 BIP
Aug 18
vs ATL · Tyler Mahle
2
102.9
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
96.9
3 BIP
Aug 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
4
101.9
4 BIP
Aug 12
vs BAL · Shane Baz
4
99.0
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs BAL · Brandon Young
5
105.4
5 BIP
Aug 9
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
87.6
3 BIP
Aug 6
@ KC · Michael Wacha
2
83.8
2 BIP
Aug 5
@ KC · Noah Cameron
1
95.1
1 BIP
Aug 4
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
107.4
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
109.3
HR
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
102.0
HR
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
101.0
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs KC · Randy Dobnak
3
105.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
102.3
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs ATH · Brady Basso
3
93.6
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
102.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
100.5
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
104.5
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ CHC · Colin Rea
2
84.7
2 BIP
Jul 12
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
107.0
HR
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
2
108.4
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
93.4
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
104.5
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ NYY · NYY Bullpen Proxy
3
105.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
102.3
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
4
107.8
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
2
102.6
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
84.5
4 BIP
Jun 28
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jun 27
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
104.4
5 BIP
Jun 26
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
106.8
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
74.8
2 BIP
Jun 22
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
0
—
—
Jun 21
@ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
5
100.0
5 BIP
Jun 20
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
5
100.8
5 BIP
Jun 19
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 18
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
5
104.9
HR
5 BIP
Jun 16
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
6
108.8
HR
6 BIP
Jun 14
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
96.2
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
98.7
2 BIP
Jun 11
@ DET · Keider Montero
4
97.8
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ DET · Troy Melton
1
96.1
1 BIP
Jun 6
vs KC · Luinder Avila
3
101.3
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
83.1
2 BIP
Jun 3
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
96.1
1 BIP
Jun 2
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
91.1
2 BIP
Jun 1
vs CWS · David Sandlin
3
94.3
3 BIP
May 31
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
88.5
2 BIP
May 30
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
88.9
2 BIP
May 28
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
96.4
3 BIP
May 27
@ CWS · David Sandlin
3
90.1
3 BIP
May 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
1
74.1
1 BIP
May 24
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
107.3
3 BIP
May 23
@ BOS · Jovani Morán
4
108.5
4 BIP
May 22
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
0
—
—
May 20
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
99.5
4 BIP
May 19
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
4
96.2
4 BIP
May 18
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
2
66.2
2 BIP
May 16
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
102.3
HR
3 BIP
May 13
vs MIA · Max Meyer
0
—
—
May 12
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
1
75.2
1 BIP
May 10
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
102.7
3 BIP
May 9
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
1
86.8
1 BIP
May 8
@ CLE · Parker Messick
0
—
—
May 7
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
5
99.6
5 BIP
May 6
@ WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
84.1
3 BIP
May 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
5
105.4
5 BIP
May 2
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
107.4
3 BIP
May 1
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
0
—
—
Apr 30
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
1
83.4
1 BIP
Apr 29
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
93.7
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
105.8
4 BIP
Apr 27
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
3
101.4
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
80.7
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
5
103.9
5 BIP
Apr 23
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
92.2
2 BIP
Apr 22
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
2
91.1
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
91.9
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs CIN · Brady Singer
1
92.9
1 BIP
Apr 14
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
104.5
2 BIP
Apr 13
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Apr 11
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
3
105.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 9
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
98.0
1 BIP
Apr 8
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
98.9
1 BIP
Apr 7
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
0
—
—
Apr 6
vs DET · Casey Mize
4
104.6
4 BIP
Apr 5
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
101.9
3 BIP
Apr 4
vs TB · Steven Matz
0
—
—
Apr 2
@ KC · Cole Ragans
0
—
—
Apr 1
@ KC · Noah Cameron
0
—
—
Mar 30
@ KC · Kris Bubic
1
61.3
1 BIP
Mar 29
@ BAL · Shane Baz
2
83.7
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
86.2
2 BIP
Mar 26
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
0
—
—
Ballpark
Target Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.935
Wind
3 mph from WSW
Temp
85°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
3 ↑
85°
+1
7:40p
2 ↑
83°
+1
8:40p
3 ↑
81°
+2
9:40p
3 ↑
79°
+2
10:40p
3 ↑
78°
+0
+1
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from NW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Aug 26
Season
10 HR
105 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 41 → 41
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Trevor Larnach
Will Trevor Larnach hit a home run today?
Trevor Larnach is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #98 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jackson Jobe at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Trevor Larnach hit home runs?
Across 105 scored games this season, Trevor Larnach has 10 home runs — one every 10.5 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Has Trevor Larnach homered off Jackson Jobe before?
Not yet — Trevor Larnach has faced Jackson Jobe 2 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.