2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KC · RHB
Salvador Perez

Salvador Perez

RHB
KC · 108 appearances tracked
15 HRs
13.9% HR Rate
17.4% Avg HR/FB
88.7 Avg EV
0.162 ISO
#11 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
44
0.148
Avg EV
43
88.7
Barrel%
33
7.1%
HR/FB vs LHP
46
12.2%
Avg HR Dist
82
406
Match%
27
8.8%
Season HR%
14.7%
14D Pace
7.7%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
44
43
33
46
82
27
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 41 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 44.4%
13.6%
10
16.7%
Breaking 40.8%
5.9%
5
24.2%
Offspeed 14.8%
8.5%
2
17.9%
All 100% 9.8% 17 19.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Parker Messick · LHP · KC
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Parker Messick in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Edge Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 7.1 vs
7.1
HR/FB 12.2 vs 18.0 ▼ risk
12.2
18.0
K% 19.9 vs
19.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 15 this season · avg 425 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Aug 1 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 104.2 425
HR by month
1
Aug
All Appearances 108 tracked · 15 HR · 15 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 29 @ CLE · Foster Griffin 4 107.6 4 BIP
Aug 28 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 98.9 3 BIP
Aug 27 @ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti 3 100.9 3 BIP
Aug 26 @ TOR · Spencer Miles 2 92.2 2 BIP
Aug 25 @ TOR · Max Scherzer 3 102.5 3 BIP
Aug 23 vs DET · Jacob Waguespack 2 105.2 2 BIP
Aug 22 vs DET · Drew Anderson 3 106.3 HR 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs DET · Troy Melton 4 83.6 4 BIP
Aug 20 vs ATH · Gage Jump 5 99.3 5 BIP
Aug 19 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 109.2 3 BIP
Aug 18 vs ATH · Brady Basso 3 96.5 3 BIP
Aug 17 vs ATH · Mason Barnett 2 90.6 2 BIP
Aug 16 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 4 99.2 4 BIP
Aug 9 vs CHC · Matthew Boyd 4 96.1 4 BIP
Aug 7 vs CHC · Kevin Gausman 4 106.2 4 BIP
Aug 6 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 85.4 3 BIP
Aug 5 vs MIN · Dean Kremer 3 91.8 3 BIP
Aug 4 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 4 98.7 4 BIP
Aug 2 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 97.3 3 BIP
Aug 1 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 4 104.2 HR 4 BIP
Jul 31 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 3 102.1 3 BIP
Jul 30 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 2 98.9 2 BIP
Jul 29 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 2 101.8 2 BIP
Jul 28 @ MIN · Taj Bradley 4 99.2 4 BIP
Jul 26 @ DET · Framber Valdez 2 96.7 2 BIP
Jul 25 @ DET · Casey Mize 4 105.3 HR 4 BIP
Jul 24 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 3 107.1 3 BIP
Jul 23 @ DET · Troy Melton 3 104.5 3 BIP
Jul 22 vs SF · Landen Roupp 3 108.7 HR 3 BIP
Jul 21 vs SF · Tyler Mahle 1 70.9 1 BIP
Jul 20 vs SF · Trevor McDonald 2 105.4 HR 2 BIP
Jul 19 vs SD · Germán Márquez 3 86.0 3 BIP
Jul 18 vs SD · Griffin Canning 2 105.0 HR 2 BIP
Jul 17 vs SD · Michael King 2 73.2 2 BIP
Jul 12 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 108.9 2 BIP
Jul 11 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 1 100.1 1 BIP
Jul 10 @ BAL · Brandon Young 4 105.6 4 BIP
Jul 9 @ NYM · Sean Manaea 4 105.4 4 BIP
Jul 8 @ NYM · Christian Scott 4 104.7 4 BIP
Jul 7 @ NYM · Cionel Pérez 3 106.4 3 BIP
Jul 6 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 4 105.7 HR 4 BIP
Jul 5 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 3 95.0 3 BIP
Jul 1 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 3 96.7 3 BIP
Jun 30 vs TB · Griffin Jax 2 98.4 2 BIP
Jun 28 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 3 104.0 3 BIP
Jun 27 @ CWS · Davis Martin 3 100.5 3 BIP
Jun 26 @ CWS · David Sandlin 1 87.5 1 BIP
Jun 25 @ TB · Casey Legumina 3 90.5 3 BIP
Jun 24 @ TB · Griffin Jax 3 98.0 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 3 102.8 3 BIP
Jun 22 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 2 89.4 2 BIP
Jun 4 @ MIN · Andrew Morris 5 105.1 5 BIP
Jun 3 @ CIN · Chase Burns 3 101.6 3 BIP
Jun 2 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 102.1 4 BIP
May 31 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 3 98.6 3 BIP
May 30 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 4 89.9 4 BIP
May 29 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 3 105.7 3 BIP
May 27 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 100.0 2 BIP
May 26 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 104.0 2 BIP
May 25 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 107.3 HR 2 BIP
May 24 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 4 108.9 4 BIP
May 23 vs SEA · George Kirby 4 90.3 4 BIP
May 22 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 4 110.0 4 BIP
May 20 vs BOS · Connelly Early 4 109.8 HR 4 BIP
May 19 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 2 101.9 2 BIP
May 18 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 2 89.9 2 BIP
May 17 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 99.0 HR 3 BIP
May 16 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 3 90.9 3 BIP
May 15 @ STL · Dustin May 4 102.2 4 BIP
May 14 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 3 97.1 3 BIP
May 13 @ CWS · Noah Schultz 3 107.3 3 BIP
May 12 @ CWS · Erick Fedde 5 106.1 HR 5 BIP
May 9 vs DET · Burch Smith 1 99.2 1 BIP
May 8 vs DET · Keider Montero 2 99.9 2 BIP
May 7 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 100.1 4 BIP
May 6 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 91.0 1 BIP
May 5 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 2 95.9 2 BIP
May 4 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 97.2 4 BIP
May 3 @ SEA · Luis Castillo 3 103.4 3 BIP
May 2 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 1 96.6 1 BIP
May 1 @ SEA · Bryan Woo 3 109.8 3 BIP
Apr 30 @ ATH · Jeffrey Springs 4 103.5 4 BIP
Apr 29 @ ATH · Luis Severino 4 97.0 4 BIP
Apr 26 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 5 100.8 5 BIP
Apr 25 vs LAA · Walbert Urena 4 111.2 HR 4 BIP
Apr 24 vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi 1 98.1 1 BIP
Apr 22 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 3 76.7 3 BIP
Apr 21 vs BAL · Shane Baz 4 104.0 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 5 103.4 5 BIP
Apr 19 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 2 95.7 2 BIP
Apr 18 @ NYY · Will Warren 0
Apr 17 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 72.5 2 BIP
Apr 16 @ DET · Keider Montero 3 106.2 HR 3 BIP
Apr 15 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 2 85.8 2 BIP
Apr 14 @ DET · Framber Valdez 4 105.0 4 BIP
Apr 11 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 2 106.0 2 BIP
Apr 10 vs CWS · Davis Martin 3 104.8 3 BIP
Apr 9 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 2 104.4 2 BIP
Apr 8 @ CLE · Joey Cantillo 3 86.8 3 BIP
Apr 7 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 3 105.3 3 BIP
Apr 6 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 99.5 3 BIP
Apr 5 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 4 105.8 4 BIP
Apr 4 vs MIL · Chad Patrick 5 101.6 HR 5 BIP
Apr 2 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 4 108.5 4 BIP
Apr 1 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 3 106.7 3 BIP
Mar 30 vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 3 99.8 3 BIP
Mar 29 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 3 93.3 3 BIP
Mar 28 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 4 105.8 HR 4 BIP
Ballpark Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.966 Wind 7 mph from WNW Temp 75°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p 7 75° -2
2:40p 6 75° -5
3:40p 3 74° -4
4:40p 1 73° -1
5:40p 2 73° -1
-3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
3 mph 0% 6% 41% 18% 35% OPPO PULL Progressive Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from NW)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
6 gm
since his last HR, Aug 22
Season
15 HR
108 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 14 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 39 → 39
ISO (Power)
+15.6
Barrel Matchup
+10.6
Park Factor
+4.5
season hr rate
+4.0
HR/FB Matchup
+1.4
recent hr density 14d
+1.1
Exit Velocity
+0.8
Pitcher FIP
+0.7
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Salvador Perez

Will Salvador Perez hit a home run today?

Salvador Perez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #131 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Parker Messick at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Salvador Perez hit home runs?

Across 108 scored games this season, Salvador Perez has 15 home runs — one every 7.2 games, or about 14% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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