2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Ryan Vilade
Ryan Vilade
TB · RHB
Ryan Vilade

Ryan Vilade

RHB
TB · 32 appearances tracked
6 HRs
18.8% HR Rate
14.6% Avg HR/FB
89.4 Avg EV
0.181 ISO
#12 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
85
0.217
Avg EV
61
89.7
Barrel%
42
7.8%
HR/FB vs LHP
83
21.2%
Avg HR Dist
96
414
Match%
96
26.6%
Season HR%
18.8%
14D Pace
40.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
85
61
42
83
96
96
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 16 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 65.0%
6.3%
5
22.0%
Breaking 23.5%
8.8%
3
29.4%
Offspeed 11.5%
9.5%
3
12.0%
All 100% 7.3% 11 22.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Robbie Ray · LHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-9 across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Tropicana +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 7.8 vs
7.8
HR/FB 21.2 vs 15.5 ▲ edge
21.2
15.5
K% 22.6 vs
22.6
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 32 tracked · 6 HR · 3 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 24 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 113.0 3 BIP
Aug 21 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 109.0 3 BIP
Aug 19 vs TOR · Max Scherzer 1 51.5 1 BIP
Aug 17 vs BAL · Brandon Young 2 107.4 HR 2 BIP
Aug 16 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 109.6 HR 3 BIP
Aug 2 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 4 102.2 4 BIP
Aug 1 vs CWS · Jordan Hicks 0
Jul 29 vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 107.8 HR 2 BIP
Jul 26 vs CLE · Parker Messick 2 100.5 2 BIP
Jul 24 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 94.4 HR 1 BIP
Jul 18 @ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy 2 101.6 2 BIP
Jul 17 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 7 110.3 7 BIP
Jul 9 vs NYY · Paul Blackburn 3 94.3 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 4 100.6 4 BIP
Jun 30 @ KC · Noah Cameron 2 103.1 HR 2 BIP
Jun 24 vs KC · Noah Cameron 3 111.3 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs KC · Michael Wacha 2 100.2 2 BIP
Jun 21 vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez 2 106.8 HR 2 BIP
Jun 10 vs BOS · Jake Bennett 4 100.5 4 BIP
Jun 9 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 4 113.6 4 BIP
Jun 8 vs BOS · Connelly Early 2 99.5 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 2 107.1 2 BIP
Jun 5 @ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy 4 109.3 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 1 100.6 1 BIP
May 30 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 2 86.5 2 BIP
May 29 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 4 106.9 4 BIP
May 27 @ BAL · Trey Gibson 3 85.9 3 BIP
May 24 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 2 103.9 2 BIP
May 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 2 98.2 2 BIP
May 6 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 2 99.1 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 2 96.7 2 BIP
Apr 16 @ CWS · Jordan Leasure 1 89.2 1 BIP
Ballpark Tropicana Field · open-air
Park Factor 1.087 Wind 0 mph from — Temp Roof
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p 0 · +3
2:40p 0 · +3
3:40p 0 · +3
4:40p 0 · +3
5:40p 0 · +3
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
0 mph 0% 0% 27% 36% 36% OPPO PULL Tropicana Field
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Aug 17
Season
6 HR
32 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 5 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 58 → 58
ISO (Power)
+19.9
Barrel Matchup
+11.7
Park Factor
+9.2
Pitcher FIP
+4.5
season hr rate
+4.4
HR/FB Matchup
+4.2
recent hr density 14d
+3.1
Exit Velocity
+1.0
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Ryan Vilade

Will Ryan Vilade hit a home run today?

Ryan Vilade is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #24 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Robbie Ray at Tropicana Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Ryan Vilade hit home runs?

Across 32 scored games this season, Ryan Vilade has 6 home runs — one every 5.3 games, or about 19% of his scored games.

Has Ryan Vilade homered off Robbie Ray before?

Not yet — Ryan Vilade has faced Robbie Ray 9 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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