2026
Richie Palacios

Richie Palacios

TB · 94 appearances tracked
8 HRs
8.5% HR Rate
9.9% Avg HR/FB
86.5 Avg EV
0.099 ISO
#45 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-16
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
37
0.139
Avg EV
14
86.2
Barrel%
14
5.3%
HR/FB vs RHP
78
19.2%
Avg HR Dist
19
385
Match%
21
8.1%
Season HR%
—
8.4%
14D Pace
—
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
37
14
14
78
19
21
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 25 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-16
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 62.3%
5.3%
8
14.2%
Breaking 24.3%
1.4%
0
19.8%
Offspeed 13.4%
2.6%
2
22.6%
All 100% 3.9% 10 16.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Shawn Armstrong · RHP · TB
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Shawn Armstrong in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon — Weather -6
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel% 5.3 vs —
5.3
HR/FB 19.2 vs 11.1 ▲ edge
19.2
11.1
K% 16.7 vs —
16.7
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 94 tracked · 8 HR · 1 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 27 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 4 94.2 4 BIP
Sep 26 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 3 101.5 3 BIP
Sep 24 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 1 77.3 1 BIP
Sep 23 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 85.7 3 BIP
Sep 22 @ NYY · Carlos Rodón 2 90.3 2 BIP
Sep 19 vs BOS · Brayan Bello 3 96.8 3 BIP
Sep 17 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 2 95.8 2 BIP
Sep 15 vs ATH · Jack Perkins 2 98.2 2 BIP
Sep 13 vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski 4 101.6 HR 4 BIP
Sep 12 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 2 99.6 2 BIP
Sep 11 vs HOU · Miguel Ullola 2 106.0 2 BIP
Sep 9 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 3 79.3 3 BIP
Sep 8 @ ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver 2 104.6 HR 2 BIP
Sep 5 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 2 100.0 HR 2 BIP
Sep 4 @ TEX · Trevor Williams 3 98.4 HR 3 BIP
Sep 3 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 3 93.7 3 BIP
Sep 2 vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy 4 101.7 HR 4 BIP
Aug 31 vs NYM · Robert Stock 4 95.6 4 BIP
Aug 29 vs SD · Walker Buehler 2 88.4 2 BIP
Aug 26 @ DET · Troy Melton 4 101.1 4 BIP
Aug 25 @ DET · Jackson Jobe 2 75.4 2 BIP
Aug 23 @ BAL · Shane Baz 4 94.9 4 BIP
Aug 22 @ BAL · Brandon Young 3 95.1 3 BIP
Aug 20 vs TOR · Shane Bieber 3 103.9 3 BIP
Aug 19 vs TOR · Max Scherzer 4 93.7 4 BIP
Aug 18 vs TOR · José Soriano 4 102.3 4 BIP
Aug 17 vs BAL · Brandon Young 3 99.9 3 BIP
Aug 15 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 103.9 3 BIP
Aug 14 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 3 94.0 3 BIP
Aug 12 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 2 98.2 2 BIP
Aug 11 @ ATH · Mason Barnett 2 100.7 2 BIP
Aug 10 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 1 86.9 1 BIP
Aug 9 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 2 97.5 2 BIP
Aug 8 @ SEA · George Kirby 3 105.0 3 BIP
Aug 7 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 36.2 1 BIP
Aug 5 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 1 95.3 1 BIP
Aug 4 @ COL · Gabriel Hughes 1 78.2 1 BIP
Aug 3 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 101.6 HR 3 BIP
Jul 31 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 3 97.1 3 BIP
Jul 28 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 0 — —
Jul 26 vs CLE · Parker Messick 2 95.0 2 BIP
Jul 25 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 102.0 3 BIP
Jul 23 @ TOR · Shane Bieber 3 92.3 3 BIP
Jul 22 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 2 96.2 2 BIP
Jul 20 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 1 74.2 1 BIP
Jul 19 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 3 84.1 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy 2 87.9 2 BIP
Jul 17 @ BOS · Eduardo Rivera 0 — —
Jul 12 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 1 74.3 1 BIP
Jul 11 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 4 95.4 4 BIP
Jul 10 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 4 101.2 HR 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 100.0 2 BIP
Jul 6 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 72.6 3 BIP
Jul 5 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 80.7 2 BIP
Jul 4 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 4 101.7 HR 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 0 — —
Jul 2 @ KC · Stephen Kolek 2 85.1 2 BIP
Jul 1 @ KC · Seth Lugo 3 97.3 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 2 85.8 2 BIP
Jun 26 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 4 91.0 4 BIP
Jun 25 vs KC · Seth Lugo 5 101.0 5 BIP
Jun 23 vs KC · Luinder Avila 5 100.7 5 BIP
Jun 22 vs KC · Michael Wacha 3 84.6 3 BIP
Jun 20 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 101.1 1 BIP
Jun 19 vs WSH · PJ Poulin 3 102.7 3 BIP
Jun 17 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 2 78.4 2 BIP
Jun 16 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 0 — —
Jun 15 @ LAD · Eric Lauer 0 — —
Jun 14 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 3 103.1 3 BIP
Jun 13 @ LAA · José Soriano 2 102.9 2 BIP
Jun 12 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 0 — —
Jun 9 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 3 82.7 3 BIP
Jun 7 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 104.2 4 BIP
Jun 6 @ MIA · Lake Bachar 3 100.1 3 BIP
Jun 5 @ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy 3 101.6 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs DET · Troy Melton 3 89.1 3 BIP
Jun 2 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 99.6 4 BIP
Jun 1 vs DET · Ty Madden 3 95.8 3 BIP
May 31 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 2 87.5 2 BIP
May 29 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 1 94.3 1 BIP
May 27 @ BAL · Trey Gibson 4 100.4 4 BIP
May 26 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 96.9 2 BIP
May 25 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 5 106.9 5 BIP
May 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 97.4 3 BIP
May 19 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 105.3 2 BIP
May 17 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 2 88.4 2 BIP
May 16 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 98.0 4 BIP
May 15 vs MIA · Janson Junk 2 100.5 2 BIP
Apr 29 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 2 101.0 2 BIP
Apr 19 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 1 101.4 1 BIP
Apr 15 @ CWS · Sean Burke 2 77.6 2 BIP
Apr 12 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 101.0 2 BIP
Mar 29 @ STL · Dustin May 2 101.2 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 2 106.5 2 BIP
Ballpark Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.950 Wind 23 mph from N Temp 55°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
8:00p 23 ↓ 55° -26
9:00p 25 ↓ 54° -28
10:00p 26 ↓ 54° -29
11:00p 28 ↓ 53° -31
12:00a 28 ↓ 53° -31
-29
Strong red alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
26 mph 16% 8% 31% 10% 35% OPPO PULL Progressive Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from N)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 35 → 35
ISO (Power)
+14.8
Barrel Matchup
+8.5
Park Factor
+3.9
Pitcher FIP
+3.7
season hr rate
+2.4
HR/FB Matchup
+1.3
Exit Velocity
+0.3
recent hr density 14d
+0.0
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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Richie Palacios

Will Richie Palacios hit a home run today?

Richie Palacios is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #12 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shawn Armstrong at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Richie Palacios hit home runs?

Across 94 scored games this season, Richie Palacios has 8 home runs — one every 11.8 games, or about 9% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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