Nicky Lopez
LHB
TEX
· 53 appearances tracked
1
HRs
1.9%
HR Rate
7.2%
Avg HR/FB
85.0
Avg EV
0.058
ISO
#101
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.039
Avg EV84.3
Barrel%—
HR/FB vs LHP0.0%
Avg HR Dist397
Match%7.5%
Season HR%
1.9%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.5%
1
Breaking
28.8%
0
Offspeed
13.7%
0
All
100%
0.0%
1
16.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Gage Jump · LHP · TEX
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Gage Jump in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Globe Life +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +3
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
HR/FB
0.0
vs
11.8 ▼ risk
K%
16.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
53 tracked · 1 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
88.3
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
67.7
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
86.8
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
4
95.2
4 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
90.8
3 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
1
83.2
1 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
1
80.8
1 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
4
99.0
4 BIP
Jul 30
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
3
81.1
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ TB · Casey Legumina
3
89.9
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
104.7
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
2
88.5
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
96.3
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
81.6
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
97.6
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
2
54.7
2 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
96.7
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
4
91.8
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
101.0
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
3
83.0
3 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
90.3
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
1
91.3
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
93.0
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
97.2
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
93.9
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
91.0
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs DET · Framber Valdez
5
96.5
5 BIP
Jul 1
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
99.5
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
91.1
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
94.1
2 BIP
Jun 26
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
3
103.3
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
4
95.8
4 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
1
84.0
1 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
89.1
3 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
97.9
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
3
101.2
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
99.0
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
4
96.6
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
3
74.4
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
4
90.9
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
98.5
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
1
81.0
1 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
2
81.3
2 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
96.8
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
85.8
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
95.6
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
3
101.7
HR
3 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
91.2
2 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
96.6
3 BIP
Ballpark
Globe Life Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.024
Wind
6 mph from SE
Temp
98°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p
6 ↖
98°
+5
8:05p
6 ↖
96°
+5
9:05p
6 ↖
94°
+6
10:05p
6 ↖
92°
+6
11:05p
8 ↖
90°
+7
+6
Slight green alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from SSE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
since his last HR, May 29
Season
1 HR
53 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 20 → 20
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Barrel Matchup
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Nicky Lopez
Will Nicky Lopez hit a home run today?
Nicky Lopez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #170 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Gage Jump at Globe Life Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Nicky Lopez hit home runs?
Across 53 scored games this season, Nicky Lopez has 1 home runs — one every 53.0 games, or about 2% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.