Nick Sogard
SHB
BOS
· 32 appearances tracked
3
HRs
9.4%
HR Rate
2.7%
Avg HR/FB
84.2
Avg EV
0.094
ISO
#99
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.119
Avg EV85.6
Barrel%6.5%
HR/FB vs RHP5.6%
Avg HR Dist400
Match%12.0%
Season HR%
12.1%
14D Pace
30.8%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
61.4%
2
Breaking
22.8%
0
Offspeed
15.8%
0
All
100%
5.3%
2
18.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Will Warren · RHP · BOS
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Will Warren in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.5
vs
—
HR/FB
5.6
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
18.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
32 tracked · 3 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
7
103.4
HR
7 BIP
Aug 28
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
77.1
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
99.2
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
90.8
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
104.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
2
105.9
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
101.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
103.3
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs AZ · Mitch Bratt
5
104.2
5 BIP
Aug 16
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
1
41.6
1 BIP
Aug 15
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
85.4
1 BIP
Aug 14
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
96.9
5 BIP
Aug 13
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
4
89.8
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ TOR · José Soriano
4
99.8
4 BIP
Aug 10
@ TOR · Jameson Taillon
4
104.9
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
5
99.5
5 BIP
Aug 8
vs ATH · Gage Jump
3
102.8
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
2
66.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
5
98.0
5 BIP
Aug 5
vs CWS · Sean Burke
1
82.0
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs CWS · Davis Martin
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
87.5
2 BIP
May 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
88.5
2 BIP
May 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
66.5
2 BIP
May 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
4
86.9
4 BIP
May 26
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
93.4
3 BIP
May 24
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
4
99.8
4 BIP
May 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
97.3
2 BIP
May 19
@ KC · Bailey Falter
3
100.7
3 BIP
May 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
101.1
3 BIP
Ballpark
Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor
1.063
Wind
12 mph from SW
Temp
77°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
12 ↑
77°
+14
2:35p
12 ↑
77°
+14
3:35p
12 ↑
78°
+14
4:35p
13 ↑
79°
+16
5:35p
11 ↑
78°
+13
+14
Slight green alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 29
Season
3 HR
32 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 45 → 45
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Nick Sogard
Will Nick Sogard hit a home run today?
Nick Sogard is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #86 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Will Warren at Yankee Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Nick Sogard hit home runs?
Across 32 scored games this season, Nick Sogard has 3 home runs — one every 10.7 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.