Nick Sogard
SHB
BOS
· 34 appearances tracked
3
HRs
8.8%
HR Rate
2.9%
Avg HR/FB
84.3
Avg EV
0.097
ISO
#99
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.138
Avg EV86.1
Barrel%6.1%
HR/FB vs RHP5.3%
Avg HR Dist384
Match%11.1%
Season HR%
11.4%
14D Pace
30.8%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-01
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.3%
3
Breaking
24.0%
0
Offspeed
21.7%
0
All
100%
5.0%
3
18.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Bryan Woo · RHP · BOS
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Bryan Woo in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Fenway Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.1
vs
—
HR/FB
5.3
vs
13.9 ▼ risk
K%
18.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
34 tracked · 3 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 31
vs SEA · George Kirby
5
98.4
5 BIP
Aug 30
@ NYY · Will Warren
1
82.4
1 BIP
Aug 29
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
7
103.4
HR
7 BIP
Aug 28
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
77.1
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
99.2
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
90.8
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
104.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
2
105.9
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
101.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
103.3
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs AZ · Mitch Bratt
5
104.2
5 BIP
Aug 16
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
1
41.6
1 BIP
Aug 15
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
85.4
1 BIP
Aug 14
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
96.9
5 BIP
Aug 13
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
4
89.8
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ TOR · José Soriano
4
99.8
4 BIP
Aug 10
@ TOR · Jameson Taillon
4
104.9
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
5
99.5
5 BIP
Aug 8
vs ATH · Gage Jump
3
102.8
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
2
66.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
5
98.0
5 BIP
Aug 5
vs CWS · Sean Burke
1
82.0
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs CWS · Davis Martin
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
87.5
2 BIP
May 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
88.5
2 BIP
May 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
66.5
2 BIP
May 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
4
86.9
4 BIP
May 26
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
93.4
3 BIP
May 24
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
4
99.8
4 BIP
May 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
97.3
2 BIP
May 19
@ KC · Bailey Falter
3
100.7
3 BIP
May 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
101.1
3 BIP
Ballpark
Fenway Park · open-air
Park Factor
0.922
Wind
5 mph from ESE
Temp
64°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:45p
5 ←
64°
-5
7:45p
5 ←
64°
-5
8:45p
5 ←
64°
-5
9:45p
5 ←
64°
-5
10:45p
5 ←
64°
-5
-5
Slight red alignment
blend spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from ESE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 9/1
Dueness now
0.40×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 29
Season
3 HR
34 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 38 → 38
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
recent hr density 14d
season hr rate
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Nick Sogard
Will Nick Sogard hit a home run today?
Nick Sogard is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #161 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Bryan Woo at Fenway Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Nick Sogard hit home runs?
Across 34 scored games this season, Nick Sogard has 3 home runs — one every 11.3 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.