Nick Kurtz
ATH
· 89 appearances tracked
19
HRs
21.3%
HR Rate
29.0%
Avg HR/FB
95.1
Avg EV
0.225
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.226
Avg EV93.5
Barrel%11.5%
HR/FB vs LHP25.0%
Avg HR Dist412
Match%24.7%
Season HR%
21.3%
14D Pace
50.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-07-27
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.1%
11
Breaking
26.7%
8
Offspeed
18.2%
1
All
100%
18.1%
20
32.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Payton Tolle · LHP · ATH
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2025
.333
AVG
1.333
SLG
1
HR
1-for-3 with 1 homer across 3 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Sutter Health +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon —
Weather +5
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.5
vs
—
HR/FB
25.0
vs
20.0 ▲ edge
K%
32.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
19 this season · avg 417 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 12
Freddy Peralta · Citi Field
—
106.5
363.0
Apr 18
Erick Fedde · Sutter Health Park
—
115.3
386.0
Apr 22
Logan Gilbert · T-Mobile Park
—
110.6
438.0
May 14
Michael McGreevy · Sutter Health Park
—
111.8
442.0
May 15
Tyler Mahle · Sutter Health Park
—
108.2
417.0
Jun 2
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
—
110.0
383
Jun 7
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
—
113.9
389
Jun 8
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
—
110.3
447
Jun 9
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
—
—
—
Jun 12
vs COL · Seth Halvorsen
—
108.9
471
Jun 15
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
—
106.0
380
Jun 21
vs LAA · Brent Suter
—
109.2
437
Jul 3
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
—
112.9
457
Jul 26
@ MIN · Cole Sands
—
104.1
412
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
89 tracked · 19 HR · 74 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 26
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
104.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIN · Mike Paredes
0
—
—
Jul 9
@ DET · Framber Valdez
2
51.2
2 BIP
Jul 8
@ DET · Troy Melton
1
97.1
1 BIP
Jul 7
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
3
103.3
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
104.4
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
1
98.9
1 BIP
Jul 3
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
112.9
HR
2 BIP
Jul 1
vs LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
3
110.7
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
0
—
—
Jun 29
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
85.9
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
3
107.7
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
107.6
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ SF · Landen Roupp
1
91.1
1 BIP
Jun 24
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
109.5
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ SF · Robbie Ray
1
108.2
1 BIP
Jun 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
109.3
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs LAA · José Soriano
0
—
—
Jun 18
vs LAA · LAA Bullpen Proxy
3
106.2
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
108.2
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
2
101.6
2 BIP
Jun 15
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
112.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 14
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
111.8
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
3
109.5
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
4
108.9
HR
4 BIP
Jun 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
103.7
2 BIP
Jun 9
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
91.8
HR
2 BIP
Jun 8
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
110.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
3
113.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
2
102.0
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
96.2
2 BIP
Jun 4
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
93.0
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ CHC · Colin Rea
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
110.0
HR
2 BIP
May 31
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
108.0
3 BIP
May 30
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
104.0
HR
3 BIP
May 29
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
3
107.3
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
102.7
2 BIP
May 26
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
103.4
1 BIP
May 25
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
2
104.7
2 BIP
May 24
@ SD · Michael King
2
106.8
2 BIP
May 22
@ SD · Walker Buehler
1
108.9
1 BIP
May 21
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
100.3
2 BIP
May 20
@ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
2
114.1
2 BIP
May 19
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
5
111.7
5 BIP
May 18
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
105.2
3 BIP
May 17
vs SF · Adrian Houser
0
—
—
May 16
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
2
103.6
2 BIP
May 15
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
1
108.2
HR
1 BIP
May 14
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
111.8
HR
2 BIP
May 13
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
100.3
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
106.9
2 BIP
May 10
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
1
87.6
1 BIP
May 9
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
108.4
4 BIP
May 8
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
5
100.2
5 BIP
May 7
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
3
110.1
3 BIP
May 6
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
101.6
4 BIP
May 5
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
102.2
3 BIP
May 3
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
90.7
2 BIP
May 2
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
109.2
3 BIP
May 1
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
97.7
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs KC · Noah Cameron
2
115.9
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
99.2
2 BIP
Apr 28
vs KC · Kris Bubic
2
83.1
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
94.5
2 BIP
Apr 24
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
115.9
HR
3 BIP
Apr 22
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
110.6
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
3
114.7
3 BIP
Apr 20
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
107.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
1
98.5
1 BIP
Apr 18
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
115.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
112.3
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
4
104.2
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
110.6
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
1
106.5
HR
1 BIP
Apr 11
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
2
102.5
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
1
91.1
1 BIP
Apr 9
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
112.0
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ NYY · Will Warren
3
111.5
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
115.1
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
109.7
2 BIP
Apr 1
@ ATL · Chris Sale
0
—
—
Mar 31
@ ATL · José Suarez
1
93.2
1 BIP
Mar 30
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
96.8
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
1
112.5
1 BIP
Mar 28
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Mar 27
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
1
91.1
1 BIP
Ballpark
Sutter Health Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.179
Wind
13 mph from SSW
Temp
84°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
13 ↖
84°
+19
7:40p
13 ↖
82°
+18
8:40p
12 ↖
78°
+17
9:40p
11 ↖
74°
+14
10:40p
9 ↖
70°
+11
+16
Strong green alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from SSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 7/27
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Jul 26
Season
19 HR
89 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 18 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 64 → 64
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Pitcher FIP