Nick Fortes
RHB
TB
· 69 appearances tracked
3
HRs
4.3%
HR Rate
7.3%
Avg HR/FB
86.8
Avg EV
0.095
ISO
#79
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.098
Avg EV85.2
Barrel%4.9%
HR/FB vs LHP5.6%
Avg HR Dist396
Match%7.7%
Season HR%
4.3%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-01
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
58.1%
3
Breaking
29.7%
1
Offspeed
12.1%
0
All
100%
2.2%
4
12.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Sean Manaea · LHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 4 PA · since 2022
.750
AVG
2.250
SLG
2
HR
3-for-4 with 2 homers across 4 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Tropicana +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
4.9
vs
—
HR/FB
5.6
vs
16.7 ▼ risk
K%
12.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
69 tracked · 3 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
vs SD · Robbie Ray
2
91.2
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ DET · Framber Valdez
4
100.8
4 BIP
Aug 20
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
94.3
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
84.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ ATH · Mason Barnett
0
—
—
Aug 10
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
90.7
2 BIP
Aug 8
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
66.8
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
0
—
—
Aug 5
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
81.9
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
0
—
—
Aug 3
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
0
—
—
Aug 2
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
3
104.0
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs CWS · Jordan Hicks
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
94.8
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
90.2
2 BIP
Jul 24
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
5
104.7
HR
5 BIP
Jul 20
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
4
102.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
2
72.1
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
2
82.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs NYY · Paul Blackburn
3
96.4
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jul 6
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
102.0
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
102.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
104.3
4 BIP
Jun 28
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
94.0
2 BIP
Jun 24
vs KC · Noah Cameron
3
93.7
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
85.2
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
4
83.1
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
3
106.0
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
91.0
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ LAA · José Soriano
0
—
—
Jun 12
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jun 10
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
4
107.2
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
3
91.8
3 BIP
Jun 8
vs BOS · Connelly Early
2
70.1
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIA · Lake Bachar
1
103.3
1 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy
5
95.5
5 BIP
Jun 3
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
99.6
3 BIP
May 30
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
4
99.7
4 BIP
May 29
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
101.3
4 BIP
May 24
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
104.7
3 BIP
May 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
78.9
2 BIP
May 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
107.2
4 BIP
May 17
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
4
88.6
4 BIP
May 13
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 12
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
2
105.8
2 BIP
May 11
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
0
—
—
May 10
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
100.2
3 BIP
May 9
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
0
—
—
May 8
@ BOS · Connelly Early
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 7
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
2
102.6
2 BIP
May 6
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
3
101.6
3 BIP
May 5
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
0
—
—
May 3
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
3
103.1
3 BIP
May 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
94.1
2 BIP
May 1
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
95.4
2 BIP
Apr 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
92.7
4 BIP
Apr 27
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
99.2
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
89.8
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
108.9
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs CIN · Brandon Williamson
3
99.7
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Apr 20
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
90.0
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
105.2
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
103.5
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ CWS · Jordan Leasure
3
102.3
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs NYY · Luis Gil
3
94.6
3 BIP
Ballpark
Tropicana Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.079
Wind
0 mph from —
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
0 ·
—
+2
7:40p
0 ·
—
+2
8:40p
0 ·
—
+2
9:40p
0 ·
—
+2
10:40p
0 ·
—
+2
+2
Neutral alignment
blend spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 9/1
Dueness now
2.29×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
16 gm
since his last HR, Jul 21
Season
3 HR
69 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 36 → 36
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Nick Fortes
Will Nick Fortes hit a home run today?
Nick Fortes is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #175 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Sean Manaea at Tropicana Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Nick Fortes hit home runs?
Across 69 scored games this season, Nick Fortes has 3 home runs — one every 23.0 games, or about 4% of his scored games.
Has Nick Fortes homered off Sean Manaea before?
Yes — Nick Fortes has taken Sean Manaea deep 2 times in 4 career plate appearances against him.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.