2026
Luis Lara
Luis Lara
MIL
Luis Lara

Luis Lara

MIL · 28 appearances tracked
1 HRs
3.6% HR Rate
4.1% Avg HR/FB
88.9 Avg EV
0.102 ISO
#75 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-11
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
6
0.078
Avg EV
35
88.0
Barrel%
11
4.8%
HR/FB vs LHP
5
0.0%
Avg HR Dist
5
373
Match%
5
5.7%
Season HR%
—
3.6%
14D Pace
—
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
6
35
11
5
5
5
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 29 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 56.7%
3.5%
0
20.2%
Breaking 28.1%
0.0%
0
28.8%
Offspeed 15.2%
4.3%
0
15.6%
All 100% 2.8% 0 21.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Tarik Skubal · LHP · MIL
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-9 across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
American Family Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon — Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel% 4.8 vs —
4.8
HR/FB 0.0 vs 12.2 ▼ risk
0.0
12.2
K% 21.9 vs —
21.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 28 tracked · 1 HR · 0 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 26 vs STL · Quinn Mathews 3 99.6 3 BIP
Sep 24 @ PHI · Andrew Painter 5 99.1 5 BIP
Sep 22 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 100.8 3 BIP
Sep 19 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 1 77.9 1 BIP
Sep 18 @ BAL · Cade Povich 3 90.1 3 BIP
Sep 17 @ PIT · Wilber Dotel 3 90.7 3 BIP
Sep 15 @ PIT · Lake Bachar 4 104.9 4 BIP
Sep 13 vs CIN · Chase Burns 2 102.7 2 BIP
Sep 11 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 4 103.7 4 BIP
Sep 8 vs CHC · David Peterson 3 82.7 3 BIP
Sep 7 vs CHC · Matthew Boyd 3 103.0 3 BIP
Sep 5 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 2 84.1 2 BIP
Sep 2 @ CHC · David Peterson 2 94.5 2 BIP
Sep 1 @ CHC · Matthew Boyd 3 95.5 3 BIP
Aug 29 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 2 98.9 2 BIP
Aug 27 @ NYM · Sean Manaea 2 100.1 2 BIP
Aug 26 @ NYM · Robert Stock 4 101.3 4 BIP
Aug 25 @ NYM · Zac Thornton 2 97.4 2 BIP
Aug 22 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 4 104.5 4 BIP
Aug 21 vs ATL · Chris Sale 2 91.5 2 BIP
Aug 20 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 99.9 3 BIP
Aug 19 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 95.5 3 BIP
Aug 18 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 6 98.1 HR 6 BIP
Aug 16 @ LAD · Tarik Skubal 4 101.5 4 BIP
Aug 15 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 3 107.7 3 BIP
Aug 9 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 3 97.0 3 BIP
Aug 7 vs MIN · Zebby Matthews 2 102.8 2 BIP
Aug 6 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 0 — —
Ballpark American Family Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.950 Wind 6 mph from SSW Temp 76°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:00p 6 ← 76° -3
8:00p 6 ← 73° -3
9:00p 7 ← 71° -3
10:00p 7 ← 69° -3
11:00p 8 ← 67° -3
-3
Neutral alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
7 mph 35% 9% 31% 9% 15% OPPO PULL American Family Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from SSW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 26 → 26
ISO (Power)
+10.9
Barrel Matchup
+8.4
Park Factor
+3.9
season hr rate
+1.2
HR/FB Matchup
+0.9
Exit Velocity
+0.7
Pitcher FIP
+0.0
recent hr density 14d
+0.0
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Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Luis Lara

Will Luis Lara hit a home run today?

Luis Lara is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #18 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Tarik Skubal at American Family Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Luis Lara hit home runs?

Across 28 scored games this season, Luis Lara has 1 home runs — one every 28.0 games, or about 4% of his scored games.

Has Luis Lara homered off Tarik Skubal before?

Not yet — Luis Lara has faced Tarik Skubal 9 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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