Lawrence Butler
LHB
ATH
· 116 appearances tracked
10
HRs
8.6%
HR Rate
19.6%
Avg HR/FB
89.4
Avg EV
0.119
ISO
#16
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.142
Avg EV89.3
Barrel%6.5%
HR/FB vs RHP20.0%
Avg HR Dist410
Match%15.6%
Season HR%
8.6%
14D Pace
15.4%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.3%
7
Breaking
24.6%
4
Offspeed
18.1%
1
All
100%
7.4%
12
25.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Chris Bassitt · RHP · ATH
SMALL SAMPLE · 10 PA · since 2024
.444
AVG
.555
SLG
0
HR
4-for-9 and 1 walk across 10 plate appearances since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Sutter Health +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.5
vs
—
HR/FB
20.0
vs
18.2 ▲ edge
K%
25.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
116 tracked · 10 HR · 15 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs BAL · Shane Baz
1
106.1
1 BIP
Aug 28
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
98.0
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
104.2
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
2
102.6
2 BIP
Aug 23
@ HOU · Cristian Javier
1
82.5
1 BIP
Aug 22
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
2
102.8
2 BIP
Aug 21
@ HOU · Hayden Wesneski
3
107.0
3 BIP
Aug 20
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
73.3
3 BIP
Aug 19
@ KC · Seth Lugo
2
104.9
2 BIP
Aug 18
@ KC · Daniel Lynch IV
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 17
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
99.5
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs TEX · Cody Bradford
4
107.0
HR
4 BIP
Aug 15
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
101.7
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
103.4
HR
4 BIP
Aug 12
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
107.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 11
vs TB · Nick Martinez
4
103.7
HR
4 BIP
Aug 10
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ BOS · Erik Miller
4
105.8
4 BIP
Aug 8
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
3
107.1
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
93.8
3 BIP
Aug 6
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
89.4
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
107.9
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
98.0
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs DET · Keider Montero
3
95.3
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs DET · Framber Valdez
3
103.3
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs DET · DET Bullpen Proxy
2
97.2
2 BIP
Jul 30
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
103.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
1
106.8
1 BIP
Jul 27
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
1
69.1
1 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIN · Mike Paredes
1
42.6
1 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
84.4
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
102.6
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
2
105.8
2 BIP
Jul 20
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs WSH · Zack Littell
3
100.4
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
97.0
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
2
87.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ CWS · Bryan Hudson
1
98.3
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
107.7
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ DET · Troy Melton
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jul 3
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
103.4
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski
0
—
—
Jun 29
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
2
91.5
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
3
107.8
3 BIP
Jun 27
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
97.8
1 BIP
Jun 26
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
83.0
1 BIP
Jun 25
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jun 24
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
1
109.7
1 BIP
Jun 23
@ SF · Robbie Ray
0
—
—
Jun 20
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
60.2
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
105.2
HR
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs LAA · LAA Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Jun 17
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Jun 16
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
96.3
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs PIT · Jared Jones
3
101.6
3 BIP
Jun 14
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
105.4
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
0
—
—
Jun 12
vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy
2
92.0
2 BIP
Jun 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
106.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 8
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
97.3
1 BIP
Jun 7
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
3
88.8
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ CHC · Colin Rea
2
112.5
2 BIP
May 31
vs NYY · Will Warren
4
107.6
4 BIP
May 30
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
0
—
—
May 29
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
1
106.6
1 BIP
May 26
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
101.6
4 BIP
May 25
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
0
—
—
May 22
@ SD · Walker Buehler
1
—
1 BIP
May 21
@ LAA · José Soriano
3
105.6
3 BIP
May 20
@ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
0
—
—
May 19
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
—
1 BIP
May 18
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
80.9
1 BIP
May 17
vs SF · Adrian Houser
2
100.9
2 BIP
May 16
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
1
74.1
1 BIP
May 15
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
2
90.7
2 BIP
May 13
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
0
—
—
May 12
vs STL · Andre Pallante
2
98.7
2 BIP
May 10
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
1
97.2
1 BIP
May 9
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
90.7
3 BIP
May 8
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
96.9
2 BIP
May 7
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
4
105.2
4 BIP
May 6
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
102.6
1 BIP
May 5
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
May 3
vs CLE · Parker Messick
0
—
—
May 2
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
86.3
2 BIP
May 1
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
84.4
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs KC · Noah Cameron
2
99.8
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
105.6
HR
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs KC · Kris Bubic
0
—
—
Apr 26
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
107.7
4 BIP
Apr 25
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
97.8
3 BIP
Apr 22
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
1
73.9
1 BIP
Apr 20
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
109.9
4 BIP
Apr 19
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
1
86.7
1 BIP
Apr 18
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
3
96.1
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
112.7
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
5
111.6
5 BIP
Apr 14
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
0
—
—
Apr 12
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
100.0
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
2
77.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
4
106.5
4 BIP
Apr 9
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
110.3
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
103.3
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
100.8
1 BIP
Apr 5
vs HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
3
109.1
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ ATL · Chris Sale
1
60.1
1 BIP
Mar 31
@ ATL · José Suarez
3
91.1
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
110.8
3 BIP
Mar 27
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
73.1
2 BIP
Ballpark
Sutter Health Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.234
Wind
4 mph from WSW
Temp
75°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:05p
4 ↑
75°
+11
2:05p
4 ↑
79°
+12
3:05p
6 ↑
82°
+14
4:05p
8 ↑
84°
+16
5:05p
10 ↑
86°
+18
+14
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.33×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
6 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 26
Season
10 HR
116 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 6 gm · MAD ± 4 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 49 → 49
ISO (Power)
Park Factor
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Lawrence Butler
Will Lawrence Butler hit a home run today?
Lawrence Butler is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #56 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Chris Bassitt at Sutter Health Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Lawrence Butler hit home runs?
Across 116 scored games this season, Lawrence Butler has 10 home runs — one every 11.6 games, or about 9% of his scored games.
Has Lawrence Butler homered off Chris Bassitt before?
Not yet — Lawrence Butler has faced Chris Bassitt 10 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.