Kyle Isbel
LHB
KC
· 70 appearances tracked
5
HRs
7.1%
HR Rate
16.0%
Avg HR/FB
88.2
Avg EV
0.126
ISO
#33
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.126
Avg EV88.8
Barrel%4.1%
HR/FB vs LHP12.5%
Avg HR Dist388
Match%9.2%
Season HR%
7.0%
14D Pace
18.2%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.6%
4
Breaking
24.3%
2
Offspeed
18.0%
0
All
100%
3.3%
6
22.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Parker Messick · LHP · KC
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Parker Messick in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
4.1
vs
—
HR/FB
12.5
vs
11.1 ▲ edge
K%
22.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
70 tracked · 5 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
90.7
2 BIP
Aug 27
@ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti
2
97.9
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ TOR · Spencer Miles
2
72.9
2 BIP
Aug 25
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
4
104.1
4 BIP
Aug 23
vs DET · Jacob Waguespack
4
106.6
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs DET · Drew Anderson
2
93.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs DET · Troy Melton
4
104.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
101.1
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs ATH · Brady Basso
2
90.1
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
2
93.0
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
4
102.8
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
100.7
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs CHC · Clay Holmes
4
97.0
4 BIP
Aug 6
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
97.4
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs MIN · Dean Kremer
2
85.6
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
4
104.2
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
101.8
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
38.0
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
104.2
4 BIP
Jun 4
@ MIN · Andrew Morris
3
102.9
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
91.2
2 BIP
Jun 1
@ CIN · Lyon Richardson
4
104.6
4 BIP
May 31
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
106.1
2 BIP
May 30
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
98.0
2 BIP
May 29
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
93.3
3 BIP
May 26
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
102.8
2 BIP
May 25
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
93.4
2 BIP
May 24
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
80.6
2 BIP
May 23
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
104.5
3 BIP
May 22
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
77.2
1 BIP
May 20
vs BOS · Connelly Early
3
100.1
3 BIP
May 18
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
1
88.6
1 BIP
May 17
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
107.8
3 BIP
May 16
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
97.1
2 BIP
May 15
@ STL · Dustin May
4
102.3
4 BIP
May 14
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
2
98.0
2 BIP
May 13
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
0
—
—
May 12
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
4
95.9
4 BIP
May 9
vs DET · Burch Smith
3
83.4
3 BIP
May 8
vs DET · Keider Montero
4
107.7
4 BIP
May 7
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
1
66.8
1 BIP
May 6
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
May 5
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
2
90.0
2 BIP
May 4
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
May 3
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 2
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
2
95.0
2 BIP
May 1
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
98.6
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ ATH · Luis Severino
3
93.2
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs LAA · Walbert Urena
3
100.2
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
107.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs BAL · Shane Baz
4
103.4
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
75.4
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
75.1
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
88.8
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ DET · Keider Montero
4
91.8
4 BIP
Apr 15
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
96.9
2 BIP
Apr 14
@ DET · Framber Valdez
0
—
—
Apr 11
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
2
103.3
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
105.6
2 BIP
Apr 9
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
1
98.9
1 BIP
Apr 8
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
Apr 7
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
1
87.8
1 BIP
Apr 6
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
96.3
4 BIP
Apr 5
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
0
—
—
Apr 4
vs MIL · Chad Patrick
4
107.4
4 BIP
Apr 2
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
102.4
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
4
103.5
HR
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
3
103.6
HR
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
86.6
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
3
103.9
3 BIP
Ballpark
Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.966
Wind
7 mph from WNW
Temp
75°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p
7 ↘
75°
-2
2:40p
6 ↘
75°
-5
3:40p
3 ↘
74°
-4
4:40p
1 ↘
73°
-1
5:40p
2 ↘
73°
-1
-3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from pull (from NW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.29×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
17 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Aug 22
Season
5 HR
70 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 4 gaps · median 17 gm · MAD ± 16.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 33 → 33
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
recent hr density 14d
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Pitcher FIP
Common questions about Kyle Isbel
Will Kyle Isbel hit a home run today?
Kyle Isbel is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #171 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Parker Messick at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Kyle Isbel hit home runs?
Across 70 scored games this season, Kyle Isbel has 5 home runs — one every 14.0 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.