Justin Crawford
LHB
PHI
· 99 appearances tracked
2
HRs
2.0%
HR Rate
5.6%
Avg HR/FB
87.4
Avg EV
0.098
ISO
#15
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.086
Avg EV87.2
Barrel%1.3%
HR/FB3.2%
Avg HR Dist382
Match%5.9%
Season HR%
2.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
64.7%
1
Breaking
23.7%
1
Offspeed
11.7%
0
All
100%
1.3%
2
17.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs AZ Bullpen Proxy · PHI
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs AZ Bullpen Proxy in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Chase Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon —
Weather +3
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
1.3
vs
—
HR/FB
3.2
vs
12.0 ▼ risk
K%
17.2
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
99 tracked · 2 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
99.5
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
70.7
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
4
104.6
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
102.0
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
95.2
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
3
97.4
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
101.6
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs MIA · Cade Gibson
3
81.5
3 BIP
Aug 17
vs MIA · Janson Junk
2
100.0
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
2
95.4
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
101.4
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
91.4
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
105.8
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ STL · Hunter Dobbins
3
102.5
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
94.4
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs TOR · Max Scherzer
4
104.5
4 BIP
Aug 7
vs TOR · José Soriano
2
108.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
101.6
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
2
98.3
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs WSH · Carson Palmquist
3
100.8
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
103.1
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
106.0
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ BAL · Brandon Young
4
102.0
4 BIP
Jul 29
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
100.6
2 BIP
Jul 28
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
81.1
3 BIP
Jul 27
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
104.7
4 BIP
Jul 26
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
109.2
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
52.4
1 BIP
Jul 20
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
4
98.4
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
1
86.9
1 BIP
Jul 16
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
96.7
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
0
—
—
Jul 9
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
105.8
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
105.0
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
90.7
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ KC · Luinder Avila
3
87.9
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
83.4
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs PIT · Jared Jones
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jun 30
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
96.1
4 BIP
Jun 29
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
98.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ NYM · Cionel Pérez
4
99.5
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
105.1
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
4
98.2
4 BIP
Jun 24
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
3
92.6
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ WSH · PJ Poulin
2
101.8
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
97.5
2 BIP
Jun 17
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
86.1
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
97.9
2 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
4
97.3
4 BIP
Jun 12
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
0
—
—
Jun 10
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jun 9
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
80.4
2 BIP
Jun 7
vs CWS · CWS Bullpen Proxy
3
94.3
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs CWS · Brandon Eisert
1
82.2
1 BIP
Jun 4
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs SD · Walker Buehler
1
94.7
1 BIP
Jun 2
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
4
105.1
4 BIP
May 31
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
102.4
3 BIP
May 30
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
100.1
2 BIP
May 29
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
0
—
—
May 27
@ SD · Walker Buehler
3
95.9
3 BIP
May 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
4
93.7
4 BIP
May 25
@ SD · Griffin Canning
2
94.0
2 BIP
May 23
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
88.6
3 BIP
May 22
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
2
96.9
2 BIP
May 19
vs CIN · Chase Burns
1
55.3
1 BIP
May 18
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
4
101.7
4 BIP
May 17
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
4
101.5
4 BIP
May 16
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
104.8
2 BIP
May 15
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
5
104.0
5 BIP
May 13
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
May 10
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
80.8
2 BIP
May 9
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
1
93.3
1 BIP
May 8
vs COL · Chase Dollander
3
100.9
HR
3 BIP
May 7
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
100.3
2 BIP
May 6
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
64.1
1 BIP
May 5
vs ATH · Luis Severino
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 4
@ MIA · Janson Junk
1
95.6
1 BIP
May 3
@ MIA · Chris Paddack
4
92.8
4 BIP
May 2
@ MIA · Max Meyer
0
—
—
May 1
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
100.8
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs SF · Logan Webb
8
104.8
8 BIP
Apr 29
vs SF · Logan Webb
0
—
—
Apr 28
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
0
—
—
Apr 25
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
0
—
—
Apr 23
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
0
—
—
Apr 22
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
0
—
—
Apr 20
@ CHC · Colin Rea
0
—
—
Apr 19
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
0
—
—
Apr 18
vs ATL · Chris Sale
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
0
—
—
Apr 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
Apr 10
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
0
—
—
Mar 29
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
0
—
—
Mar 28
vs TEX · Jacob Latz
0
—
—
Ballpark
Chase Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.921
Wind
12 mph from SSE
Temp
84°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
12 ↖
84°
+10
7:40p
9 ↖
83°
+8
8:40p
9 ↖
82°
+7
9:40p
9 ↖
82°
+4
10:40p
9 ↖
82°
+1
+6
Slight green alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from SE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
since his last HR, May 13
Season
2 HR
99 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 23 → 23
ISO (Power)
Pitcher FIP
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Justin Crawford
Will Justin Crawford hit a home run today?
Justin Crawford is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #171 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing AZ Bullpen Proxy at Chase Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Justin Crawford hit home runs?
Across 99 scored games this season, Justin Crawford has 2 home runs — one every 49.5 games, or about 2% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.