Juan Soto
NYM
· 88 appearances tracked
17
HRs
19.3%
HR Rate
24.7%
Avg HR/FB
92.7
Avg EV
0.245
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.256
Avg EV92.5
Barrel%10.5%
HR/FB vs RHP30.4%
Avg HR Dist401
Match%24.6%
Season HR%
19.3%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.3%
14
Breaking
30.7%
6
Offspeed
16.0%
1
All
100%
14.2%
21
13.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Ethan Pecko · RHP · NYM
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Ethan Pecko in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Citi Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.5
vs
—
HR/FB
30.4
vs
28.6 ▲ edge
K%
13.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
17 this season · avg 405 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 1
Matthew Liberatore · Busch Stadium
—
107.6
344.0
May 6
Michael Lorenzen · Coors Field
—
104.3
435.0
May 14
Keider Montero · Citi Field
—
105.2
412.0
May 19
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
—
110.2
434.0
May 20
@ WSH · Zack Littell
—
109.0
408.0
May 22
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
—
107.7
449.0
May 26
vs CIN · Chase Burns
—
103.0
384.0
May 27
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
—
96.4
366.0
May 31
vs MIA · John King
—
109.0
433
Jun 11
vs STL · JoJo Romero
—
101.2
398
Jun 12
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
—
109.1
382
Jun 18
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
—
105.0
389
Jul 3
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
—
100.6
359
Jul 6
@ ATL · Raisel Iglesias
—
107.8
430
Jul 7
vs KC · Seth Lugo
—
111.5
415
Jul 9
vs KC · Beck Way
—
106.6
435
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
88 tracked · 17 HR · 72 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
vs HOU · Bennett Sousa
4
100.7
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
Jul 21
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jul 20
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
96.4
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
5
99.2
5 BIP
Jul 18
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
79.5
2 BIP
Jul 16
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
1
98.2
1 BIP
Jul 12
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
3
103.4
3 BIP
Jul 11
vs BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
3
102.8
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs KC · Michael Wacha
1
106.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs KC · Steven Cruz
2
85.7
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
111.5
HR
4 BIP
Jul 6
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
2
107.8
HR
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
94.4
4 BIP
Jul 4
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
3
98.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
101.3
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs PHI · Tim Mayza
3
103.1
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
104.1
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
0
—
—
Jun 23
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.5
2 BIP
Jun 22
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
0
—
—
Jun 21
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
89.5
2 BIP
Jun 20
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
105.4
3 BIP
Jun 18
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
4
105.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 17
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
5
109.0
5 BIP
Jun 16
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
98.0
2 BIP
Jun 15
@ CIN · Chase Burns
1
94.6
1 BIP
Jun 14
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
96.4
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
4
103.1
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
109.1
HR
3 BIP
Jun 11
vs STL · Hunter Dobbins
4
108.9
HR
4 BIP
Jun 10
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs STL · Dustin May
3
93.2
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
94.4
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ SD · Griffin Canning
3
101.8
3 BIP
Jun 5
@ SD · Michael King
3
103.4
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ SEA · George Kirby
5
93.7
5 BIP
Jun 2
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
109.1
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
106.8
3 BIP
May 31
vs MIA · John King
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
May 30
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
105.6
3 BIP
May 29
vs MIA · Max Meyer
4
94.1
4 BIP
May 27
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
98.3
HR
3 BIP
May 26
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
103.0
HR
3 BIP
May 23
@ MIA · Max Meyer
3
106.2
3 BIP
May 22
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
107.7
HR
3 BIP
May 21
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
102.7
2 BIP
May 20
@ WSH · Zack Littell
4
110.9
HR
4 BIP
May 19
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
110.2
HR
3 BIP
May 18
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
4
95.1
4 BIP
May 17
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
102.0
4 BIP
May 15
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
102.6
HR
1 BIP
May 14
vs DET · Keider Montero
5
106.8
HR
5 BIP
May 13
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
96.4
2 BIP
May 12
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
106.8
4 BIP
May 10
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
102.2
3 BIP
May 9
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
98.1
3 BIP
May 8
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
2
90.1
2 BIP
May 7
@ COL · Jose Quintana
4
95.4
4 BIP
May 6
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
104.3
HR
5 BIP
May 4
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
105.6
2 BIP
May 3
@ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
99.7
3 BIP
May 2
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
92.9
2 BIP
May 1
@ LAA · Walbert Urena
2
101.2
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
110.8
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs COL · Jose Quintana
3
106.5
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
114.2
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
3
105.1
3 BIP
Apr 14
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0
—
—
Apr 11
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
0
—
—
Apr 9
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Apr 8
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
0
—
—
Apr 7
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
Apr 5
@ SF · Logan Webb
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ SF · Landen Roupp
0
—
—
Apr 2
@ SF · Robbie Ray
3
87.1
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
107.6
HR
4 BIP
Mar 31
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
110.8
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
95.3
3 BIP
Mar 29
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
2
94.7
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
5
107.3
5 BIP
Mar 26
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
4
92.5
4 BIP
Ballpark
Citi Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.931
Wind
12 mph from WSW
Temp
78°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
3:10p
12 →
78°
+7
4:10p
13 →
79°
+6
5:10p
13 →
79°
+3
6:10p
11 →
78°
+0
7:10p
8 →
78°
-2
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from W)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
3.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
10 gm
since his last HR, Jul 9
Season
17 HR
88 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 16 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 59 → 59
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Park Factor
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Juan Soto
Will Juan Soto hit a home run today?
Juan Soto is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #20 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Ethan Pecko at Citi Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Juan Soto hit home runs?
Across 88 scored games this season, Juan Soto has 17 home runs — one every 5.2 games, or about 19% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.