Josh Smith
TEX
· 71 appearances tracked
3
HRs
4.2%
HR Rate
4.4%
Avg HR/FB
87.0
Avg EV
0.067
ISO
#28
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.8%
2
Breaking
24.1%
4
Offspeed
21.2%
0
All
100%
6.2%
6
22.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
22.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
71 tracked · 3 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 26
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
100.1
4 BIP
Sep 23
vs TOR · Chris Bassitt
4
86.3
4 BIP
Sep 21
vs TOR · Shane Baz
3
97.0
3 BIP
Sep 20
vs TOR · Jacob deGrom
1
61.7
1 BIP
Sep 19
vs TOR · Cal Quantrill
0
—
—
Sep 18
vs TOR · Kumar Rocker
2
96.2
2 BIP
Sep 16
vs DET · Keider Montero
4
98.3
4 BIP
Sep 15
vs DET · Drew Anderson
2
76.7
2 BIP
Sep 14
vs DET · Troy Melton
0
—
—
Sep 12
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
87.0
1 BIP
Sep 11
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
1
100.5
1 BIP
Sep 6
vs TOR · Randy Dobnak
2
99.7
HR
2 BIP
Sep 3
vs TOR · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Aug 19
vs TOR · Drew Rasmussen
3
87.1
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs TOR · Nick Martinez
4
105.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 15
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
0
—
—
Aug 10
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
1
91.9
1 BIP
Aug 9
vs TOR · Jesús Luzardo
2
49.9
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs TOR · Aaron Nola
0
—
—
Aug 7
vs TOR · Zack Wheeler
3
103.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs TOR · Hunter Brown
2
84.9
2 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
90.3
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
90.7
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
96.9
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
96.6
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
88.5
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
4
102.2
4 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
2
75.2
2 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
0
—
—
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
0
—
—
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
0
—
—
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
0
—
—
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
0
—
—
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
0
—
—
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
0
—
—
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
3
101.6
3 BIP
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
4
91.7
4 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
0
—
—
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
0
—
—
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
98.6
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
99.6
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
96.6
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
3
103.9
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
94.1
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
89.9
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
104.9
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
1
103.5
1 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
95.6
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
105.0
2 BIP
Apr 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
Apr 11
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
104.4
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
3
89.3
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
101.5
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
98.1
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
90.3
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs CIN · Chase Burns
1
90.2
1 BIP
Apr 4
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
105.0
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
90.9
2 BIP
Mar 31
@ BAL · Zach Eflin
4
105.3
4 BIP
Mar 30
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
2
76.6
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
91.1
3 BIP
Mar 26
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
2
96.4
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
2.20×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
11 gm
since his last HR, Sep 6
Season
3 HR
71 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Josh Smith
Will Josh Smith hit a home run today?
Josh Smith is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 3 times in 71 scored games (about 4% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Josh Smith hit home runs?
Across 71 scored games this season, Josh Smith has 3 home runs — one every 23.7 games, or about 4% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.