Jorge Mateo
RHB
ATL
· 30 appearances tracked
3
HRs
10.0%
HR Rate
16.8%
Avg HR/FB
90.2
Avg EV
0.155
ISO
#18
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.147
Avg EV88.9
Barrel%8.9%
HR/FB vs LHP11.1%
Avg HR Dist400
Match%10.5%
Season HR%
10.0%
14D Pace
14.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
52.2%
2
Breaking
34.6%
2
Offspeed
13.2%
0
All
100%
7.7%
4
28.3%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Robbie Ray · LHP · ATL
SMALL SAMPLE · 4 PA · since 2022
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-4 across 4 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Tropicana +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.9
vs
—
HR/FB
11.1
vs
15.5 ▼ risk
K%
28.3
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
3 this season · avg 425 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 31
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
—
108.4
425
HR by month
May
All Appearances
30 tracked · 3 HR · 7 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
vs SD · Casey Mize
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 26
vs TB · Troy Melton
2
101.0
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs TB · Framber Valdez
2
92.8
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs TB · Trevor Rogers
3
79.1
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
2
82.5
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs BAL · Brandon Young
2
101.7
HR
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
86.7
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
91.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
95.4
2 BIP
Jul 8
@ PIT · Jared Jones
1
77.7
1 BIP
Jul 4
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
2
100.7
2 BIP
Jul 3
vs NYM · Christian Scott
1
100.6
1 BIP
Jul 1
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
3
90.3
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
1
102.3
1 BIP
Jun 20
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
90.4
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
103.2
2 BIP
Jun 13
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
1
92.7
1 BIP
Jun 11
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
Jun 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
109.3
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs PIT · Mason Montgomery
2
105.2
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
1
45.0
1 BIP
May 31
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
108.4
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
May 29
@ CIN · Chris Paddack
4
103.3
4 BIP
May 28
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
3
107.5
3 BIP
May 27
@ BOS · Connelly Early
4
107.4
4 BIP
May 17
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
2
103.7
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
97.7
1 BIP
Apr 26
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
96.0
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
88.4
2 BIP
Ballpark
Tropicana Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.087
Wind
0 mph from —
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p
0 ·
—
+3
2:40p
0 ·
—
+3
3:40p
0 ·
—
+3
4:40p
0 ·
—
+3
5:40p
0 ·
—
+3
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.31×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
16 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Aug 17
Season
3 HR
30 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 2 gaps · median 16 gm · MAD ± 7.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 48 → 48
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Jorge Mateo
Will Jorge Mateo hit a home run today?
Jorge Mateo is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #59 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Robbie Ray at Tropicana Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit home runs?
Across 30 scored games this season, Jorge Mateo has 3 home runs — one every 10.0 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Has Jorge Mateo homered off Robbie Ray before?
Not yet — Jorge Mateo has faced Robbie Ray 4 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.