2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Jesús Sánchez
Jesús Sánchez
TOR · LHB
Jesús Sánchez

Jesús Sánchez

LHB
TOR · 73 appearances tracked
7 HRs
9.6% HR Rate
20.3% Avg HR/FB
91.5 Avg EV
0.172 ISO
#13 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
53
0.163
Avg EV
78
90.8
Barrel%
78
10.4%
HR/FB vs RHP
79
19.1%
Avg HR Dist
60
398
Match%
40
10.3%
Season HR%
9.6%
14D Pace
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
53
78
78
79
60
40
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 12 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 53.7%
10.8%
5
25.5%
Breaking 31.2%
18.3%
2
23.6%
Offspeed 15.1%
0.0%
0
14.0%
All 100% 11.3% 7 23.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Logan Gilbert · RHP · TOR
SMALL SAMPLE · 10 PA · since 2022
.125
AVG
.125
SLG
0
HR
1-for-8 and 2 walks across 10 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Edge Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 10.4 vs
10.4
HR/FB 19.1 vs 16.9 ▲ edge
19.1
16.9
K% 23.2 vs
23.2
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 7 this season · avg 391 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 24 Gavin Williams · Rogers Centre 111.8 422.0
Apr 26 Slade Cecconi · Rogers Centre 98.1 355.0
Jun 9 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 101.8 396
HR by month
2
1
Apr Jun
All Appearances 73 tracked · 7 HR · 16 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 2 104.2 2 BIP
Aug 26 vs KC · Randy Dobnak 2 110.6 2 BIP
Aug 25 vs KC · Seth Lugo 2 98.7 2 BIP
Aug 21 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 101.5 3 BIP
Aug 19 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 0
Aug 18 @ TB · Nick Martinez 2 95.0 2 BIP
Aug 15 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 0
Aug 14 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 1 101.3 1 BIP
Aug 12 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 1 77.8 1 BIP
Aug 10 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 2 85.4 2 BIP
Aug 8 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 2 104.8 2 BIP
Aug 7 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 1 107.0 1 BIP
Aug 5 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 1 102.0 HR 1 BIP
Aug 4 @ HOU · Hayden Wesneski 2 106.4 2 BIP
Aug 3 @ HOU · Cristian Javier 3 95.9 3 BIP
Jul 31 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 2 78.5 2 BIP
Jun 26 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 1 94.8 1 BIP
Jun 23 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 3 107.7 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs HOU · Hunter Brown 1 94.9 1 BIP
Jun 21 @ CHC · Shota Imanaga 0
Jun 19 @ CHC · Ben Brown 2 67.8 2 BIP
Jun 18 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 3 105.2 3 BIP
Jun 17 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 3 84.1 3 BIP
Jun 14 vs NYY · Will Warren 1 84.3 1 BIP
Jun 13 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 1 69.6 1 BIP
Jun 9 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 4 101.8 HR 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 109.5 3 BIP
Jun 6 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 97.7 3 BIP
Jun 5 vs BAL · Brandon Young 4 110.3 4 BIP
Jun 3 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 4 104.2 4 BIP
May 31 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 102.6 2 BIP
May 30 @ BAL · Brandon Young 2 106.4 2 BIP
May 28 @ BAL · Chris Bassitt 1 94.8 1 BIP
May 27 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 0
May 26 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 2 108.7 HR 2 BIP
May 25 vs MIA · Janson Junk 2 99.9 2 BIP
May 24 vs PIT · Mitch Keller 1 89.8 1 BIP
May 23 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 3 106.0 3 BIP
May 22 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 3 106.5 3 BIP
May 20 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 82.5 2 BIP
May 19 @ NYY · Will Warren 3 76.8 3 BIP
May 18 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 1 99.9 1 BIP
May 17 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 3 97.0 3 BIP
May 16 @ DET · Casey Mize 1 109.3 1 BIP
May 15 @ DET · Brenan Hanifee 3 100.7 3 BIP
May 13 vs TB · Griffin Jax 2 91.6 2 BIP
May 12 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 2 88.8 2 BIP
May 11 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 2 71.0 2 BIP
May 10 vs LAA · José Soriano 0
May 9 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 3 98.9 HR 3 BIP
May 8 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 1 67.8 1 BIP
May 5 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 2 101.8 2 BIP
May 4 @ TB · Nick Martinez 4 85.4 4 BIP
May 3 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 4 107.1 4 BIP
May 2 @ MIN · Connor Prielipp 3 100.9 3 BIP
May 1 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 4 101.8 4 BIP
Apr 30 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 4 103.1 4 BIP
Apr 29 vs BOS · Brayan Bello 4 106.3 4 BIP
Apr 28 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 1 81.1 1 BIP
Apr 27 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 1 83.2 1 BIP
Apr 26 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 4 106.8 HR 4 BIP
Apr 25 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 86.3 1 BIP
Apr 24 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 2 111.8 HR 2 BIP
Apr 22 @ LAA · José Soriano 1 91.3 1 BIP
Apr 21 @ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 2 105.3 2 BIP
Apr 20 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 1 104.2 1 BIP
Apr 19 @ AZ · Ryne Nelson 4 110.6 4 BIP
Apr 18 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 4 108.1 4 BIP
Apr 17 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 3 105.1 3 BIP
Apr 16 @ MIL · Brandon Sproat 3 100.1 3 BIP
Apr 12 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 3 104.7 3 BIP
Apr 10 vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 3 112.3 3 BIP
Mar 29 vs ATH · Luis Morales 3 109.2 HR 3 BIP
Ballpark Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor 0.954 Wind 2 mph from S Temp 71°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:37p 2 71° +1
2:37p 3 71° +2
3:37p 4 70° +2
4:37p 5 68° +3
5:37p 5 68° +2
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
4 mph 0% 0% 25% 25% 50% OPPO PULL Rogers Centre
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SSW)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
1.09×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
11 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
12 gm
since his last HR, Aug 5
Season
7 HR
73 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 11 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 43 → 43
ISO (Power)
+16.5
Barrel Matchup
+14.7
Park Factor
+4.0
season hr rate
+2.6
Pitcher FIP
+2.0
HR/FB Matchup
+1.6
Exit Velocity
+1.2
recent hr density 14d
+0.5
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Jesús Sánchez

Will Jesús Sánchez hit a home run today?

Jesús Sánchez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #92 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Logan Gilbert at Rogers Centre. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Jesús Sánchez hit home runs?

Across 73 scored games this season, Jesús Sánchez has 7 home runs — one every 10.4 games, or about 10% of his scored games.

Has Jesús Sánchez homered off Logan Gilbert before?

Not yet — Jesús Sánchez has faced Logan Gilbert 10 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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