Jeremy Peña
RHB
HOU
· 75 appearances tracked
12
HRs
16.0%
HR Rate
16.1%
Avg HR/FB
87.1
Avg EV
0.154
ISO
#11
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.193
Avg EV88.2
Barrel%7.1%
HR/FB vs LHP7.7%
Avg HR Dist384
Match%16.9%
Season HR%
16.0%
14D Pace
30.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.7%
7
Breaking
36.8%
8
Offspeed
9.5%
1
All
100%
6.2%
16
22.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Zac Thornton · LHP · HOU
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Zac Thornton in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Citi Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.1
vs
—
HR/FB
7.7
vs
15.6 ▼ risk
K%
22.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
12 this season · avg 392 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 29
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
—
104.9
401
Aug 27
@ NYY · Yerry De los Santos
—
104.3
382
HR by month
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
75 tracked · 12 HR · 8 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
64.0
2 BIP
Aug 27
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
104.3
HR
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
1
105.6
1 BIP
Aug 25
@ NYY · Will Warren
4
101.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 23
vs ATH · Brady Basso
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
88.7
1 BIP
Aug 19
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs LAA · George Klassen
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
4
103.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 15
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
91.2
4 BIP
Aug 14
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
99.7
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ SF · Adrian Houser
3
94.5
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
84.8
3 BIP
Aug 10
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
2
105.3
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
2
105.0
2 BIP
Aug 8
@ SD · Michael King
2
92.9
2 BIP
Aug 7
@ SD · Robbie Ray
4
107.3
4 BIP
Aug 5
vs TOR · Jameson Taillon
3
107.2
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
98.4
2 BIP
Aug 3
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
3
81.8
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
106.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
105.9
4 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
104.9
HR
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
97.2
1 BIP
Jul 27
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jul 26
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
4
106.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 25
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
101.9
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ CWS · Davis Martin
5
102.9
5 BIP
Jul 22
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
105.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 21
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
102.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs MIA · Janson Junk
3
97.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
1
88.6
1 BIP
Jul 17
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jul 12
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
5
103.7
5 BIP
Jul 11
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
104.4
4 BIP
Jul 10
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
4
99.5
4 BIP
Jun 28
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
1
105.8
1 BIP
Jun 27
@ DET · Framber Valdez
4
103.7
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ DET · Keider Montero
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jun 25
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
103.1
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
93.2
2 BIP
Jun 22
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
86.8
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
103.9
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
95.9
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
104.4
HR
4 BIP
Jun 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
101.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
104.4
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 14
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
98.5
4 BIP
Jun 13
@ KC · Noah Cameron
5
108.1
5 BIP
Jun 12
@ KC · Luinder Avila
3
107.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Jun 9
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
80.5
2 BIP
Jun 8
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
1
54.4
1 BIP
Jun 7
vs ATH · Gage Jump
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
104.2
4 BIP
Jun 5
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
3
105.7
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
107.0
4 BIP
Jun 3
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
5
98.1
5 BIP
May 31
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
86.6
2 BIP
May 30
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
103.3
HR
4 BIP
May 25
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
2
101.4
2 BIP
May 24
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
71.0
1 BIP
May 23
@ CHC · Colin Rea
4
92.6
4 BIP
May 20
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
1
71.0
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Apr 21
@ CLE · Parker Messick
0
—
—
Apr 20
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Apr 18
vs STL · Andre Pallante
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
Apr 10
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
106.5
4 BIP
Mar 29
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
92.1
3 BIP
Ballpark
Citi Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.935
Wind
12 mph from WSW
Temp
79°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
3:10p
12 ↖
79°
+7
4:10p
13 ↖
80°
+6
5:10p
13 ↖
80°
+4
6:10p
11 ↖
80°
+1
7:10p
9 ↖
80°
-1
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from W)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.67×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Aug 27
Season
12 HR
75 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 11 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 47 → 47
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
Park Factor
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Jeremy Peña
Will Jeremy Peña hit a home run today?
Jeremy Peña is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #70 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Zac Thornton at Citi Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Jeremy Peña hit home runs?
Across 75 scored games this season, Jeremy Peña has 12 home runs — one every 6.2 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.