2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIA · RHB
Javier Sanoja

Javier Sanoja

RHB
MIA · 92 appearances tracked
6 HRs
6.5% HR Rate
6.4% Avg HR/FB
87.3 Avg EV
0.121 ISO
#55 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-31
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
38
0.140
Avg EV
22
87.0
Barrel%
5
3.7%
HR/FB vs LHP
67
15.8%
Avg HR Dist
9
378
Match%
51
11.6%
Season HR%
6.5%
14D Pace
9.1%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
38
22
5
67
9
51
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 38 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 56.8%
2.2%
3
2.9%
Breaking 32.1%
2.9%
3
14.5%
Offspeed 11.1%
0.0%
0
12.8%
All 100% 2.2% 6 7.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Will Dion · LHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-3 across 3 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Nationals +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Edge Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 3.7 vs
3.7
HR/FB 15.8 vs 23.5 ▼ risk
15.8
23.5
K% 7.9 vs
7.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 92 tracked · 6 HR · 0 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 30 @ WSH · Andrew Alvarez 3 83.3 3 BIP
Aug 29 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 3 93.4 3 BIP
Aug 28 @ WSH · Jackson Kent 3 102.5 3 BIP
Aug 26 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 4 96.3 4 BIP
Aug 25 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 4 106.7 4 BIP
Aug 24 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 4 102.5 4 BIP
Aug 23 vs WSH · Jackson Kent 4 96.9 4 BIP
Aug 22 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 3 91.6 3 BIP
Aug 19 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 3 104.1 HR 3 BIP
Aug 18 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 102.8 3 BIP
Aug 17 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 5 103.4 5 BIP
Aug 16 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 3 98.2 HR 3 BIP
Aug 14 @ CIN · Chase Burns 2 97.5 2 BIP
Aug 13 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 106.3 3 BIP
Aug 11 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 2 92.7 2 BIP
Aug 9 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 4 101.6 4 BIP
Aug 8 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 2 102.4 2 BIP
Aug 6 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 4 98.5 4 BIP
Aug 5 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 3 93.5 3 BIP
Aug 4 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 2 100.7 2 BIP
Aug 2 @ NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy 3 94.1 3 BIP
Aug 1 @ NYM · Zac Thornton 5 103.2 HR 5 BIP
Jul 31 @ NYM · Kodai Senga 3 102.0 3 BIP
Jul 29 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 3 99.2 3 BIP
Jul 27 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jul 25 vs SD · Randy Vásquez 4 83.9 4 BIP
Jul 24 vs SD · Germán Márquez 4 102.2 4 BIP
Jul 22 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 4 95.9 4 BIP
Jul 21 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 4 96.4 4 BIP
Jul 20 @ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy 4 97.1 4 BIP
Jul 19 @ MIL · Robert Gasser 4 92.8 4 BIP
Jul 18 @ MIL · Shane Drohan 3 92.3 3 BIP
Jul 17 @ MIL · Logan Henderson 3 102.2 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 4 100.1 4 BIP
Jul 11 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 95.5 4 BIP
Jul 10 vs CLE · Parker Messick 4 90.1 4 BIP
Jul 8 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 100.5 3 BIP
Jul 7 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 4 93.3 4 BIP
Jul 5 @ ATH · Gage Jump 6 99.9 6 BIP
Jul 4 @ ATH · Aaron Civale 4 106.8 4 BIP
Jul 3 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 0
Jul 2 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 4 108.4 4 BIP
Jul 1 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 2 100.3 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ COL · Tanner Gordon 5 103.4 HR 5 BIP
Jun 29 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 5 96.5 5 BIP
Jun 27 @ STL · Andre Pallante 4 96.7 4 BIP
Jun 23 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 4 102.9 4 BIP
Jun 22 vs TEX · Tyler Alexander 4 94.1 4 BIP
Jun 19 vs SF · Landen Roupp 4 98.6 4 BIP
Jun 17 @ PHI · Andrew Painter 5 102.4 5 BIP
Jun 16 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 88.4 2 BIP
Jun 15 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 95.1 3 BIP
Jun 13 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 4 91.6 4 BIP
Jun 12 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 101.3 3 BIP
Jun 11 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 3 100.0 3 BIP
Jun 10 vs AZ · Ryne Nelson 4 86.8 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs TB · Griffin Jax 2 89.6 2 BIP
Jun 6 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 3 96.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 5 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 2 103.2 2 BIP
Jun 3 @ WSH · Andrew Alvarez 3 100.1 3 BIP
May 31 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 3 87.4 3 BIP
May 29 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 5 89.3 5 BIP
May 26 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 3 101.3 3 BIP
May 25 @ TOR · Trey Yesavage 4 96.5 4 BIP
May 24 vs NYM · Christian Scott 4 105.5 4 BIP
May 22 vs NYM · Tobias Myers 3 99.7 3 BIP
May 21 vs ATL · Spencer Strider 2 92.9 2 BIP
May 20 vs ATL · Chris Sale 2 93.0 2 BIP
May 18 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 3 105.4 HR 3 BIP
May 16 @ TB · Nick Martinez 5 103.1 5 BIP
May 10 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 4 98.6 4 BIP
Apr 28 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 0
Apr 26 @ SF · Landen Roupp 0
Apr 22 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 4 104.8 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 0
Apr 14 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 3 97.2 3 BIP
Apr 13 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 0
Apr 12 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 3 98.3 3 BIP
Apr 11 @ DET · Casey Mize 0
Apr 10 @ DET · Keider Montero 2 93.9 2 BIP
Apr 9 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 3 99.2 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs CIN · Brady Singer 1 92.9 1 BIP
Apr 7 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 3 102.9 3 BIP
Apr 6 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 3 103.7 3 BIP
Apr 5 @ NYY · Max Fried 3 98.6 3 BIP
Apr 4 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 4 103.2 4 BIP
Apr 1 vs CWS · Shane Smith 4 103.6 4 BIP
Mar 31 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 0
Mar 30 vs CWS · Davis Martin 1 91.7 1 BIP
Mar 29 vs COL · Jose Quintana 3 98.4 3 BIP
Mar 28 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 0
Mar 27 vs COL · Kyle Freeland 3 102.9 3 BIP
Ballpark Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.193 Wind 5 mph from NW Temp 85°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:45p 5 85° +6
7:45p 3 83° +6
8:45p 2 80° +7
9:45p 2 78° +7
10:45p 2 76° +8
+7
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
2 mph 0% 0% 0% 17% 83% OPPO PULL Nationals Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from WNW)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.73×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
11 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
8 gm
since his last HR, Aug 19
Season
6 HR
92 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 5 gaps · median 11 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 41 → 41
ISO (Power)
+14.9
Park Factor
+11.6
Barrel Matchup
+6.3
Pitcher FIP
+2.7
season hr rate
+1.9
HR/FB Matchup
+1.8
recent hr density 14d
+1.2
Exit Velocity
+0.5
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Javier Sanoja

Will Javier Sanoja hit a home run today?

Javier Sanoja is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #114 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Will Dion at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Javier Sanoja hit home runs?

Across 92 scored games this season, Javier Sanoja has 6 home runs — one every 15.3 games, or about 7% of his scored games.

Has Javier Sanoja homered off Will Dion before?

Not yet — Javier Sanoja has faced Will Dion 3 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.166 · build 670

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