2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 4 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Mickey Gasper 5 HRs · 8 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 9 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 10 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 11 Coby Mayo 4 HRs · 12 Brooks Lee 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 4 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Mickey Gasper 5 HRs · 8 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 9 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 10 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 11 Coby Mayo 4 HRs · 12 Brooks Lee 4 HRs
Javier Baez

Javier Baez

DET · 14 appearances tracked
0 HRs
0.0% HR Rate
10.4% Avg HR/FB
0.141 ISO
#54 Best Rank
as of 2026-09-01
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
20
0.114
Avg EV
9
85.4
Barrel%
4
3.1%
HR/FB vs RHP
15
6.2%
Avg HR Dist
11
379
Match%
4
5.5%
Season HR%
0.0%
14D Pace
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
20
9
4
15
11
4
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 18 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-09-01
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 45.1%
4.1%
1
16.9%
Breaking 41.0%
0.0%
1
23.6%
Offspeed 14.0%
4.3%
0
11.1%
All 100% 2.4% 2 18.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Andrew Morris · RHP · DET
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Andrew Morris in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Target Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 3.1 vs
3.1
HR/FB 6.2 vs 3.7 ▲ edge
6.2
3.7
K% 18.9 vs
18.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 14 tracked · 0 HR · 0 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Apr 14 vs KC · Cole Ragans 3 96.0 3 BIP
Apr 11 vs MIA · Janson Junk 0
Apr 9 @ MIN · Mick Abel 4 102.3 4 BIP
Apr 8 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 4 99.3 4 BIP
Apr 7 @ MIN · Taj Bradley 2 91.6 2 BIP
Apr 6 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 0
Apr 5 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 3 101.1 3 BIP
Apr 4 vs STL · Dustin May 0
Apr 1 @ AZ · Zac Gallen 2 74.5 2 BIP
Mar 31 @ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 0
Mar 30 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 2 77.3 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ SD · Randy Vásquez 0
Mar 27 @ SD · Michael King 3 89.2 3 BIP
Mar 26 @ SD · Nick Pivetta 2 104.0 2 BIP
Ballpark Target Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.944 Wind 5 mph from WNW Temp 86°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p 5 86° +5
7:40p 5 85° +5
8:40p 6 82° +5
9:40p 6 80° +3
10:40p 5 77° +0
+4
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
5 mph 16% 8% 32% 10% 34% OPPO PULL Target Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from NNW)
September 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game —
Dueness now
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
no HRs yet
Season
0 HR
14 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 26 → 26
ISO (Power)
+13.4
Barrel Matchup
+6.8
Park Factor
+3.6
Pitcher FIP
+1.2
HR/FB Matchup
+0.9
Exit Velocity
+0.2
season hr rate
+0.0
recent hr density 14d
+0.0
Six home runs to freedom

Javier Baez's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, pitch analysis, HR history, ballpark conditions, the dueness calendar, and every signal behind this batter profile.

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.
14 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Javier Baez

Will Javier Baez hit a home run today?

Javier Baez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #228 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Andrew Morris at Target Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.169 · build 673

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.