Jake McCarthy
COL
· 97 appearances tracked
10
HRs
10.3%
HR Rate
15.3%
Avg HR/FB
85.0
Avg EV
0.185
ISO
#10
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.2%
11
Breaking
29.2%
1
Offspeed
13.7%
3
All
100%
5.4%
15
16.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
16.0
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 429 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 2
vs MIA · John King
—
103.8
429
HR by month
Jul
All Appearances
97 tracked · 10 HR · 9 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 27
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
94.5
4 BIP
Sep 26
@ CWS · Davis Martin
4
105.1
4 BIP
Sep 25
@ CWS · Sean Burke
1
83.9
1 BIP
Sep 24
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
89.4
3 BIP
Sep 23
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
98.4
4 BIP
Sep 22
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
2
100.3
2 BIP
Sep 20
vs SEA · Kade Anderson
3
104.7
3 BIP
Sep 18
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
4
104.8
4 BIP
Sep 17
vs SD · Michael King
3
99.4
3 BIP
Sep 16
vs SD · Robbie Ray
2
91.1
2 BIP
Sep 14
vs SD · Casey Mize
5
102.7
5 BIP
Sep 13
@ DET · Jackson Jobe
1
79.8
1 BIP
Sep 12
@ DET · Andrew Sears
4
101.2
4 BIP
Sep 11
@ DET · Framber Valdez
5
92.0
5 BIP
Sep 10
@ NYY · Max Fried
4
98.0
4 BIP
Sep 9
@ NYY · Will Warren
3
95.7
3 BIP
Sep 8
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
97.7
3 BIP
Sep 6
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
5
106.8
HR
5 BIP
Sep 5
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
103.8
3 BIP
Sep 4
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
92.1
3 BIP
Sep 2
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 31
vs BAL · Cade Povich
5
102.9
5 BIP
Aug 30
@ ATL · Tyler Mahle
4
99.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 29
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
3
87.9
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
4
99.8
4 BIP
Aug 27
@ WSH · Jake Irvin
4
104.6
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ WSH · Matt Waldron
4
84.6
4 BIP
Aug 25
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
100.5
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
104.1
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs CLE · Foster Griffin
3
94.2
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
104.2
4 BIP
Aug 21
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
102.7
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs LAD · Blake Snell
2
81.2
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
3
98.7
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
89.8
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ SF · Landen Roupp
4
84.3
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
99.7
4 BIP
Aug 10
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
2
97.5
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
5
105.9
5 BIP
Aug 8
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
5
105.3
HR
5 BIP
Aug 7
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
110.4
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs TB · Nick Martinez
4
99.0
4 BIP
Aug 4
vs TB · Freddy Peralta
5
103.9
5 BIP
Aug 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
5
97.5
HR
5 BIP
Aug 1
vs KC · Luinder Avila
4
100.8
4 BIP
Jul 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
77.7
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ SD · Kyle Hart
4
83.9
4 BIP
Jul 28
@ SD · Michael King
4
93.9
4 BIP
Jul 26
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
65.5
2 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
4
103.5
4 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
3
100.1
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
99.8
3 BIP
Jul 21
vs WSH · Carson Palmquist
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
4
106.9
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs CIN · Hunter Greene
3
94.8
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
5
90.0
5 BIP
Jul 17
vs CIN · Brady Singer
3
90.2
3 BIP
Jul 12
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
99.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
71.3
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
78.1
2 BIP
Jul 6
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
4
77.1
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
2
95.3
2 BIP
Jul 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
5
105.1
HR
5 BIP
Jul 2
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
103.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
96.3
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
105.5
5 BIP
Jun 27
@ MIN · Mike Paredes
5
101.3
5 BIP
Jun 26
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
4
108.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 24
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
4
93.2
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
4
93.8
4 BIP
Jun 21
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
98.7
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
92.6
4 BIP
Jun 17
@ CHC · Javier Assad
4
90.8
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
4
104.4
4 BIP
Jun 15
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
97.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
0
—
—
Jun 9
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
100.4
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
101.5
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
89.5
4 BIP
Jun 5
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
101.4
4 BIP
May 31
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
97.1
2 BIP
May 29
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
90.8
3 BIP
May 25
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
85.7
3 BIP
May 24
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
101.9
4 BIP
May 20
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
5
101.8
5 BIP
May 19
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
1
68.5
1 BIP
May 17
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
3
96.1
3 BIP
May 16
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
94.4
3 BIP
May 15
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
92.8
3 BIP
May 7
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
107.4
HR
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
92.0
3 BIP
Apr 24
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
92.9
2 BIP
Apr 23
vs SD · Matt Waldron
2
88.4
2 BIP
Apr 19
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
82.9
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ MIA · Max Meyer
2
87.6
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
99.5
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
3.40×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
17 gm
since his last HR, Sep 6
Season
10 HR
97 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Jake McCarthy
Will Jake McCarthy hit a home run today?
Jake McCarthy is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 10 times in 97 scored games (about 10% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Jake McCarthy hit home runs?
Across 97 scored games this season, Jake McCarthy has 10 home runs — one every 9.7 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.