Jake Burger
RHB
TEX
· 122 appearances tracked
20
HRs
16.4%
HR Rate
24.9%
Avg HR/FB
90.0
Avg EV
0.185
ISO
#5
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.191
Avg EV90.2
Barrel%8.7%
HR/FB vs LHP34.6%
Avg HR Dist401
Match%25.1%
Season HR%
16.4%
14D Pace
20.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
50.1%
13
Breaking
38.4%
6
Offspeed
11.5%
4
All
100%
11.8%
23
26.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Gage Jump · LHP · TEX
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
2.000
SLG
3
HR
3-for-6 with 3 homers and 3 walks across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Globe Life +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +3
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.7
vs
—
HR/FB
34.6
vs
14.9 ▲ edge
K%
26.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
20 this season · avg 403 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 28
Aaron Nola · Citizens Bank Park
—
104.1
374.0
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
—
108.4
409.0
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
—
106.7
378
Aug 14
@ ATH · Gage Jump
—
106.0
428
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
—
104.9
396
Aug 24
@ CWS · Tyler Schweitzer
—
108.2
412
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
—
110.2
424
HR by month
May
Jun
Aug
All Appearances
122 tracked · 20 HR · 33 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
4
98.0
4 BIP
Aug 29
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
4
104.1
4 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
102.0
1 BIP
Aug 25
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
3
110.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
2
108.3
HR
2 BIP
Aug 23
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
100.5
1 BIP
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
0
—
—
Aug 21
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
2
76.1
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
108.0
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
2
103.8
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
108.6
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
2
106.0
HR
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
4
110.6
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
89.7
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
4
89.3
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs BAL · Cade Povich
2
100.8
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
76.7
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
2
98.3
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
2
95.7
2 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
97.3
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
2
110.3
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
95.8
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
1
102.8
1 BIP
Jul 29
@ TB · Casey Legumina
4
110.2
4 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
97.8
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
2
105.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
0
—
—
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
98.5
HR
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
1
80.8
1 BIP
Jul 21
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
4
108.2
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
2
103.2
HR
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
5
107.8
5 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ ATL · Chris Sale
2
93.6
2 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
0
—
—
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
2
88.6
2 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
4
101.0
HR
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
112.6
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
85.2
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
96.1
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
3
106.6
HR
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
98.5
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
96.3
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
108.1
4 BIP
Jun 29
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
104.4
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
2
105.1
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
5
107.7
5 BIP
Jun 26
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
1
94.3
1 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
98.1
3 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
1
111.4
1 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
1
104.1
HR
1 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
4
105.7
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
87.2
3 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BOS · Connelly Early
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
1
107.3
HR
1 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
69.4
2 BIP
Jun 11
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
109.5
3 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
3
112.5
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
92.5
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
99.8
2 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
1
75.9
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
95.9
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
2
99.8
2 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
103.7
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
109.6
2 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
101.9
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
4
108.8
4 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
106.1
2 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
2
109.1
2 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
110.0
3 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
101.9
HR
2 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
—
2 BIP
May 20
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
5
110.9
HR
5 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
4
109.4
4 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
2
80.9
2 BIP
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
3
109.6
HR
3 BIP
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
96.2
2 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
1
91.4
1 BIP
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
3
99.3
HR
3 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
84.9
3 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
2
87.9
2 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
107.0
HR
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
96.9
3 BIP
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
4
110.9
4 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
4
109.1
4 BIP
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
107.3
4 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
2
108.7
2 BIP
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
102.2
HR
3 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
3
108.4
3 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
3
100.8
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
101.5
2 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
97.5
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
1
107.9
1 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
100.4
2 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
4
92.9
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
98.9
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
75.3
3 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
1
57.7
1 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
109.2
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
109.8
4 BIP
Apr 16
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
5
95.5
5 BIP
Apr 14
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
4
101.1
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
4
105.4
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
97.9
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
101.2
3 BIP
Apr 6
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
106.7
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
105.5
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
107.1
3 BIP
Apr 1
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
104.8
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ BAL · Zach Eflin
2
74.0
2 BIP
Mar 30
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
4
110.2
4 BIP
Mar 29
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
84.3
1 BIP
Mar 28
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
104.1
HR
2 BIP
Mar 26
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
108.4
HR
3 BIP
Ballpark
Globe Life Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.024
Wind
6 mph from SE
Temp
98°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
8:05p
6 →
98°
+5
9:05p
6 →
98°
+5
10:05p
6 →
98°
+5
11:05p
6 →
98°
+5
12:05a
6 →
98°
+5
+5
Slight green alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from SE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.75×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Aug 25
Season
20 HR
122 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 19 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 53 → 53
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Jake Burger
Will Jake Burger hit a home run today?
Jake Burger is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #40 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Gage Jump at Globe Life Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Jake Burger hit home runs?
Across 122 scored games this season, Jake Burger has 20 home runs — one every 6.1 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Has Jake Burger homered off Gage Jump before?
Yes — Jake Burger has taken Gage Jump deep 3 times in 9 career plate appearances against him.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.