2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSH · RHB
Jacob Young

Jacob Young

RHB
WSH · 97 appearances tracked
7 HRs
7.2% HR Rate
14.6% Avg HR/FB
88.7 Avg EV
0.139 ISO
#35 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
45
0.149
Avg EV
32
87.8
Barrel%
27
6.6%
HR/FB vs RHP
46
12.3%
Avg HR Dist
63
399
Match%
45
10.9%
Season HR%
7.2%
14D Pace
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
45
32
27
46
63
45
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 28 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 59.6%
8.3%
7
14.4%
Breaking 29.7%
3.4%
2
22.3%
Offspeed 10.8%
2.9%
1
13.6%
All 100% 6.3% 10 16.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Janson Junk · RHP · WSH
15 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-12 across 15 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Nationals +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather +5
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 6.6 vs
6.6
HR/FB 12.3 vs 17.1 ▼ risk
12.3
17.1
K% 16.7 vs
16.7
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 97 tracked · 7 HR · 9 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 3 84.7 3 BIP
Aug 27 vs COL · Gabriel Hughes 4 74.5 4 BIP
Aug 26 vs COL · Tanner Gordon 2 105.3 2 BIP
Aug 25 vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy 2 83.8 2 BIP
Aug 24 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 4 104.0 4 BIP
Aug 23 @ MIA · Janson Junk 2 80.0 2 BIP
Aug 22 @ MIA · Eury Pérez 2 93.0 2 BIP
Aug 21 @ MIA · Ryan Gusto 2 101.6 2 BIP
Aug 19 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 3 90.1 3 BIP
Aug 18 @ TEX · Cal Quantrill 2 93.9 2 BIP
Aug 16 @ NYM · Christian Scott 2 77.7 2 BIP
Aug 15 @ NYM · Sean Manaea 3 104.3 3 BIP
Aug 14 @ NYM · Robert Stock 4 103.7 4 BIP
Aug 12 vs CHC · David Peterson 5 96.2 5 BIP
Aug 11 vs CHC · Shota Imanaga 3 106.2 HR 3 BIP
Aug 9 vs CIN · Brady Singer 4 92.7 4 BIP
Aug 8 vs CIN · Chase Burns 3 91.5 3 BIP
Aug 7 vs CIN · Chase Petty 2 91.4 2 BIP
Aug 6 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 2 95.0 2 BIP
Aug 5 @ PHI · Andrew Painter 3 104.6 3 BIP
Aug 4 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 89.0 2 BIP
Aug 3 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 1 71.0 1 BIP
Aug 1 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 2 83.8 2 BIP
Jul 31 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 2 95.1 2 BIP
Jul 29 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 3 84.4 3 BIP
Jul 28 vs TOR · Shane Bieber 1 101.5 1 BIP
Jul 26 vs AZ · Kohl Drake 4 90.5 4 BIP
Jul 25 vs AZ · Mitch Bratt 4 99.9 4 BIP
Jul 24 vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez 2 94.8 2 BIP
Jul 21 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 2 90.6 2 BIP
Jul 20 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 4 106.8 HR 4 BIP
Jul 19 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 3 93.6 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 0
Jul 17 @ ATH · Gage Jump 4 99.7 4 BIP
Jul 10 vs NYY · Ryan Weathers 4 99.0 4 BIP
Jul 7 vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 97.1 2 BIP
Jul 6 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 4 90.8 4 BIP
Jul 1 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 2 99.1 2 BIP
Jun 30 @ BOS · Connelly Early 1 92.9 1 BIP
Jun 29 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 1 55.7 1 BIP
Jun 28 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 91.4 3 BIP
Jun 26 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 2 105.2 2 BIP
Jun 25 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 3 100.8 3 BIP
Jun 24 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 0
Jun 23 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 95.2 2 BIP
Jun 22 vs PHI · Tim Mayza 3 92.3 3 BIP
Jun 20 @ TB · Ian Seymour 3 105.1 3 BIP
Jun 19 @ TB · Griffin Jax 3 95.5 3 BIP
Jun 16 vs KC · Michael Wacha 3 89.7 3 BIP
Jun 15 vs KC · Mitch Spence 3 98.6 3 BIP
Jun 14 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 3 100.8 3 BIP
Jun 12 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 1 86.5 1 BIP
Jun 10 @ SF · Robbie Ray 3 105.7 3 BIP
Jun 9 @ SF · Adrian Houser 3 103.2 3 BIP
Jun 8 @ SF · Logan Webb 0
Jun 7 @ AZ · Michael Soroka 2 89.9 2 BIP
Jun 6 @ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez 3 104.6 3 BIP
Jun 5 @ AZ · Merrill Kelly 1 96.8 1 BIP
Jun 3 vs MIA · Max Meyer 3 106.5 3 BIP
Jun 2 vs MIA · Lake Bachar 1 62.2 1 BIP
Jun 1 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 2 99.5 HR 2 BIP
May 31 vs SD · Griffin Canning 3 92.8 3 BIP
May 29 vs SD · Lucas Giolito 1 100.9 1 BIP
May 27 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 3 106.1 3 BIP
May 26 @ CLE · Joey Cantillo 4 105.1 4 BIP
May 25 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 101.3 HR 3 BIP
May 24 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 2 101.4 2 BIP
May 21 vs NYM · David Peterson 3 110.1 3 BIP
May 20 vs NYM · Zach Thornton 3 104.2 HR 3 BIP
May 18 vs NYM · Christian Scott 0
May 17 vs BAL · Brandon Young 2 103.4 HR 2 BIP
May 16 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 3 105.8 HR 3 BIP
May 15 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 97.9 3 BIP
May 14 @ CIN · Chase Burns 4 90.6 4 BIP
May 12 @ CIN · Brady Singer 4 97.0 4 BIP
May 10 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 3 90.9 3 BIP
May 9 @ MIA · Janson Junk 3 89.3 3 BIP
May 7 vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 3 74.4 3 BIP
May 6 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 5 105.2 5 BIP
May 5 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 3 98.9 3 BIP
May 2 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 3 91.4 3 BIP
May 1 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 2 78.1 2 BIP
Apr 30 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 3 105.9 3 BIP
Apr 29 @ NYM · David Peterson 3 96.3 3 BIP
Apr 28 @ NYM · Clay Holmes 1 74.2 1 BIP
Apr 26 @ CWS · Bryan Hudson 3 96.9 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ CWS · Noah Schultz 1 55.3 1 BIP
Apr 24 @ CWS · Bryan Hudson 4 102.9 4 BIP
Apr 23 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 3 102.2 3 BIP
Apr 21 vs ATL · Reynaldo López 4 92.3 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs ATL · Bryce Elder 3 92.8 3 BIP
Apr 19 vs SF · Robbie Ray 3 90.0 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs SF · Adrian Houser 6 99.6 6 BIP
Apr 17 vs SF · Logan Webb 0
Apr 16 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 2 107.8 2 BIP
Apr 12 @ MIL · Brandon Woodruff 5 103.9 5 BIP
Mar 28 @ CHC · Cade Horton 2 98.6 2 BIP
Ballpark Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.202 Wind 10 mph from SW Temp 83°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:15p 10 83° +17
1:15p 10 83° +17
2:15p 10 83° +17
3:15p 9 85° +16
4:15p 7 87° +15
+16
Strong green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
9 mph 10% 0% 10% 30% 50% OPPO PULL Nationals Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
2.80×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
14 gm
since his last HR, Aug 11
Season
7 HR
97 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 3.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 45 → 45
ISO (Power)
+15.6
Park Factor
+11.6
Barrel Matchup
+10.1
Pitcher FIP
+3.4
season hr rate
+2.1
HR/FB Matchup
+1.7
Exit Velocity
+0.6
recent hr density 14d
+0.4
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Jacob Young

Will Jacob Young hit a home run today?

Jacob Young is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #92 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Janson Junk at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Jacob Young hit home runs?

Across 97 scored games this season, Jacob Young has 7 home runs — one every 13.9 games, or about 7% of his scored games.

Has Jacob Young homered off Janson Junk before?

Not yet — Jacob Young has faced Janson Junk 15 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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