Jackson Merrill
SD
· 153 appearances tracked
24
HRs
15.7%
HR Rate
15.0%
Avg HR/FB
90.0
Avg EV
0.156
ISO
#14
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.4%
13
Breaking
27.5%
9
Offspeed
19.1%
3
All
100%
12.2%
25
24.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
24.2
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
24 this season · avg 404 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 2
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
—
99.2
383
Aug 28
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
—
104.4
425
HR by month
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
153 tracked · 24 HR · 20 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 26
vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
2
96.1
2 BIP
Sep 25
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
2
88.3
2 BIP
Sep 24
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
2
110.4
2 BIP
Sep 23
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
100.9
4 BIP
Sep 22
@ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
3
91.1
3 BIP
Sep 20
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
106.7
3 BIP
Sep 19
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
1
99.0
1 BIP
Sep 18
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
111.4
HR
2 BIP
Sep 17
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
3
91.2
3 BIP
Sep 16
@ COL · Mason Adams
3
110.6
3 BIP
Sep 15
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
4
105.8
4 BIP
Sep 14
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
111.2
4 BIP
Sep 13
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
100.4
3 BIP
Sep 12
@ SF · Cesar Perdomo
3
103.0
HR
3 BIP
Sep 11
@ SF · Anthony Molina
5
109.5
5 BIP
Sep 9
vs WSH · Jackson Kent
5
106.3
HR
5 BIP
Sep 8
vs WSH · Riley Cornelio
3
104.6
3 BIP
Sep 7
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
112.1
4 BIP
Sep 6
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
112.7
3 BIP
Sep 5
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
2
97.0
2 BIP
Sep 4
vs NYY · Max Fried
4
98.7
4 BIP
Sep 2
@ CIN · Brandon Williamson
4
107.0
4 BIP
Sep 1
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
3
103.7
3 BIP
Aug 31
@ CIN · Brady Singer
2
103.6
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
101.1
3 BIP
Aug 29
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
109.9
4 BIP
Aug 28
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
3
104.4
HR
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
103.6
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
94.9
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
5
107.4
HR
5 BIP
Aug 22
vs MIN · Dean Kremer
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
1
95.6
1 BIP
Aug 19
@ NYM · Robert Stock
2
93.7
2 BIP
Aug 18
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
0
—
—
Aug 17
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
4
105.0
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
97.7
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
94.9
1 BIP
Aug 14
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
100.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
vs MIL · Dustin May
4
105.6
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
107.2
3 BIP
Aug 10
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
106.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
4
110.8
HR
4 BIP
Aug 8
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs HOU · Ronel Blanco
2
100.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ AZ · Kohl Drake
4
100.6
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
2
92.0
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
5
103.5
5 BIP
Aug 3
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
98.5
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
105.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
1
102.0
1 BIP
Jul 31
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jul 30
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
109.0
4 BIP
Jul 26
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
4
105.5
4 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
95.7
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
109.0
HR
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
4
102.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
2
101.5
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
104.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
98.1
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
64.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
104.4
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
4
102.5
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs AZ · Jose Cabrera
5
98.3
5 BIP
Jul 7
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
82.6
3 BIP
Jul 6
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
88.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
100.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
88.4
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
99.2
HR
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ CHC · Colin Rea
1
101.5
1 BIP
Jun 30
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
5
103.3
5 BIP
Jun 29
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
87.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
100.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
85.2
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
95.8
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
77.4
1 BIP
Jun 21
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
106.2
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
5
101.7
5 BIP
Jun 19
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
92.7
2 BIP
Jun 17
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
106.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
106.5
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ STL · Dustin May
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
5
96.1
5 BIP
Jun 13
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
3
100.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
104.3
5 BIP
Jun 10
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
104.7
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs CIN · Chase Burns
5
104.7
5 BIP
Jun 8
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs NYM · Huascar Brazobán
2
97.3
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
101.7
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
109.7
HR
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
98.9
2 BIP
May 31
@ WSH · Zack Littell
3
100.5
3 BIP
May 30
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
2
104.6
2 BIP
May 29
@ WSH · Paxton Schultz
4
108.5
HR
4 BIP
May 27
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
98.1
4 BIP
May 26
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
93.6
2 BIP
May 25
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
98.9
1 BIP
May 24
vs ATH · Luis Medina
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 22
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
May 20
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
0
—
—
May 19
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
89.8
3 BIP
May 18
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
99.9
3 BIP
May 17
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
103.6
4 BIP
May 16
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
78.6
2 BIP
May 15
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
100.7
1 BIP
May 13
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
95.5
1 BIP
May 12
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
98.5
4 BIP
May 10
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 9
vs STL · Dustin May
2
99.9
2 BIP
May 8
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
99.6
2 BIP
May 7
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
87.2
2 BIP
May 6
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
101.3
4 BIP
May 5
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 4
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
108.7
HR
3 BIP
May 3
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
3
107.4
3 BIP
May 2
vs CWS · Sean Burke
4
101.4
4 BIP
May 1
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
0
—
—
Apr 29
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
102.9
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
98.5
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
107.9
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
5
100.2
5 BIP
Apr 25
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
2
81.5
2 BIP
Apr 23
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
1
17.8
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
107.2
3 BIP
Apr 19
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
89.8
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
98.7
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
3
92.3
3 BIP
Apr 15
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
105.2
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
4
97.3
4 BIP
Apr 12
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
101.8
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
105.6
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
98.2
4 BIP
Apr 7
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
101.9
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
5
108.6
HR
5 BIP
Apr 4
@ BOS · Connelly Early
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs SF · Adrian Houser
4
104.7
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.7
2 BIP
Mar 30
vs SF · Landen Roupp
4
107.4
HR
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
97.1
4 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
1.40×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
7 gm
since his last HR, Sep 18
Season
24 HR
153 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 23 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Jackson Merrill
Will Jackson Merrill hit a home run today?
Jackson Merrill is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 24 times in 153 scored games (about 16% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit home runs?
Across 153 scored games this season, Jackson Merrill has 24 home runs — one every 6.4 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.