Jackson Merrill
LHB
SD
· 128 appearances tracked
21
HRs
16.4%
HR Rate
14.4%
Avg HR/FB
89.7
Avg EV
0.150
ISO
#17
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.182
Avg EV90.7
Barrel%8.4%
HR/FB vs RHP20.4%
Avg HR Dist412
Match%22.3%
Season HR%
16.4%
14D Pace
25.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.8%
10
Breaking
26.0%
8
Offspeed
17.2%
3
All
100%
11.1%
21
24.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Drew Rasmussen · RHP · SD
SMALL SAMPLE · 1 PA · since 2024
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-1 across 1 plate appearance since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Tropicana +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
8.4
vs
—
HR/FB
20.4
vs
16.1 ▲ edge
K%
24.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
21 this season · avg 404 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 2
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
—
99.2
383
Aug 28
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
—
104.4
425
HR by month
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
128 tracked · 21 HR · 10 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
109.9
4 BIP
Aug 28
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
3
104.4
HR
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
103.6
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
94.9
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
5
107.4
HR
5 BIP
Aug 22
vs MIN · Dean Kremer
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
1
95.6
1 BIP
Aug 19
@ NYM · Robert Stock
2
93.7
2 BIP
Aug 18
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
0
—
—
Aug 17
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
4
105.0
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
97.7
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
94.9
1 BIP
Aug 14
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
100.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
vs MIL · Dustin May
4
105.6
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
107.2
3 BIP
Aug 10
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
106.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
4
110.8
HR
4 BIP
Aug 8
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs HOU · Ronel Blanco
2
100.5
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ AZ · Kohl Drake
4
100.6
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
2
92.0
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
5
103.5
5 BIP
Aug 3
@ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
98.5
4 BIP
Aug 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
105.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
1
102.0
1 BIP
Jul 31
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jul 30
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
4
109.0
4 BIP
Jul 26
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
4
105.5
4 BIP
Jul 24
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
95.7
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
109.0
HR
4 BIP
Jul 21
@ ATL · Reynaldo López
4
102.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
2
101.5
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
104.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ KC · Randy Dobnak
3
98.1
3 BIP
Jul 17
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
64.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
104.4
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
4
102.5
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs AZ · Jose Cabrera
5
98.3
5 BIP
Jul 7
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
82.6
3 BIP
Jul 6
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
88.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
100.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
88.4
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
99.2
HR
2 BIP
Jul 1
@ CHC · Colin Rea
1
101.5
1 BIP
Jun 30
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
5
103.3
5 BIP
Jun 29
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
87.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
2
100.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
85.2
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
95.8
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
4
99.3
4 BIP
Jun 22
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
77.4
1 BIP
Jun 21
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
106.2
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
5
101.7
5 BIP
Jun 19
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
92.7
2 BIP
Jun 17
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
106.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 16
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
106.5
3 BIP
Jun 15
@ STL · Dustin May
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jun 14
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
5
96.1
5 BIP
Jun 13
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
3
100.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
104.3
5 BIP
Jun 10
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
104.7
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs CIN · Chase Burns
5
104.7
5 BIP
Jun 8
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
96.9
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs NYM · Huascar Brazobán
2
97.3
2 BIP
Jun 6
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
102.4
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
101.7
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
109.7
HR
2 BIP
Jun 3
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
98.9
2 BIP
May 31
@ WSH · Zack Littell
3
100.5
3 BIP
May 30
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
2
104.6
2 BIP
May 29
@ WSH · Paxton Schultz
4
108.5
HR
4 BIP
May 27
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
98.1
4 BIP
May 26
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
93.6
2 BIP
May 25
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
98.9
1 BIP
May 24
vs ATH · Luis Medina
3
95.8
3 BIP
May 22
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
0
—
—
May 20
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
0
—
—
May 19
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
89.8
3 BIP
May 18
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
99.9
3 BIP
May 17
@ SEA · George Kirby
4
103.6
4 BIP
May 16
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
78.6
2 BIP
May 15
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
100.7
1 BIP
May 13
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
95.5
1 BIP
May 12
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
98.5
4 BIP
May 10
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 9
vs STL · Dustin May
2
99.9
2 BIP
May 8
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
99.6
2 BIP
May 7
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
2
87.2
2 BIP
May 6
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
101.3
4 BIP
May 5
@ SF · Logan Webb
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 4
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
108.7
HR
3 BIP
May 3
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
3
107.4
3 BIP
May 2
vs CWS · Sean Burke
4
101.4
4 BIP
May 1
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
0
—
—
Apr 29
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
3
102.9
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
98.5
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
2
107.9
2 BIP
Apr 26
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
5
100.2
5 BIP
Apr 25
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
2
81.5
2 BIP
Apr 23
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
1
17.8
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
107.2
3 BIP
Apr 19
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
89.8
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ LAA · José Soriano
2
98.7
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
3
92.3
3 BIP
Apr 15
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
105.2
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
4
97.3
4 BIP
Apr 12
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
101.8
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
105.6
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
98.2
4 BIP
Apr 7
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
101.9
3 BIP
Apr 5
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
5
108.6
HR
5 BIP
Apr 4
@ BOS · Connelly Early
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs SF · Adrian Houser
4
104.7
4 BIP
Mar 31
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.7
2 BIP
Mar 30
vs SF · Landen Roupp
4
107.4
HR
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
97.1
4 BIP
Ballpark
Tropicana Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.087
Wind
0 mph from —
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p
0 ·
—
+3
2:40p
0 ·
—
+3
3:40p
0 ·
—
+3
4:40p
0 ·
—
+3
5:40p
0 ·
—
+3
+3
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.20×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Aug 28
Season
21 HR
128 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 20 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 3.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 52 → 52
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Pitcher FIP
Common questions about Jackson Merrill
Will Jackson Merrill hit a home run today?
Jackson Merrill is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #49 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Drew Rasmussen at Tropicana Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit home runs?
Across 128 scored games this season, Jackson Merrill has 21 home runs — one every 6.1 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Has Jackson Merrill homered off Drew Rasmussen before?
Not yet — Jackson Merrill has faced Drew Rasmussen 1 time without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.