J.P. Crawford
LHB
SEA
· 56 appearances tracked
7
HRs
12.5%
HR Rate
14.1%
Avg HR/FB
88.5
Avg EV
0.113
ISO
#48
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.130
Avg EV87.7
Barrel%7.5%
HR/FB vs RHP24.3%
Avg HR Dist388
Match%11.6%
Season HR%
12.5%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
64.4%
5
Breaking
24.9%
3
Offspeed
10.7%
2
All
100%
6.3%
10
21.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Max Scherzer · RHP · SEA
SMALL SAMPLE · 7 PA · since 2022
.167
AVG
.167
SLG
0
HR
1-for-6 and 1 walk across 7 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.5
vs
—
HR/FB
24.3
vs
20.6 ▲ edge
K%
21.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
56 tracked · 7 HR · 1 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ TOR · José Soriano
3
100.0
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
1
70.6
1 BIP
Aug 26
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
101.2
1 BIP
Jun 3
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
103.3
HR
3 BIP
May 31
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
106.8
1 BIP
May 27
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
100.5
3 BIP
May 24
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
106.1
4 BIP
May 23
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
91.7
4 BIP
May 22
@ KC · Noah Cameron
4
102.0
4 BIP
May 20
vs CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
May 19
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
May 18
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
2
82.9
2 BIP
May 17
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
1
86.5
1 BIP
May 16
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
98.8
HR
3 BIP
May 15
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
101.1
3 BIP
May 14
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
4
98.3
4 BIP
May 13
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
5
103.3
HR
5 BIP
May 12
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
101.9
3 BIP
May 11
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
92.0
4 BIP
May 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
79.2
3 BIP
May 9
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
3
103.5
3 BIP
May 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
2
83.1
2 BIP
May 6
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
60.7
2 BIP
May 5
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
2
102.6
HR
2 BIP
May 4
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
3
100.7
HR
3 BIP
May 3
vs KC · Kris Bubic
4
94.4
4 BIP
May 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
4
100.3
4 BIP
May 1
vs KC · Cole Ragans
3
92.6
3 BIP
Apr 29
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
98.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 28
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
4
102.6
4 BIP
Apr 27
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
97.3
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
90.5
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
4
103.0
4 BIP
Apr 24
@ STL · Andre Pallante
1
53.2
1 BIP
Apr 22
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
5
104.1
5 BIP
Apr 21
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
3
98.0
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
89.3
4 BIP
Apr 19
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
107.8
HR
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
107.2
4 BIP
Apr 17
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
95.5
3 BIP
Apr 16
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
97.3
2 BIP
Apr 14
@ SD · Michael King
3
96.3
3 BIP
Apr 13
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
104.4
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
3
92.1
3 BIP
Apr 8
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
97.2
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
76.3
2 BIP
Apr 6
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
94.9
1 BIP
Apr 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
95.8
2 BIP
Apr 4
@ LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
2
105.2
2 BIP
Apr 1
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs NYY · Max Fried
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
0
—
—
Mar 29
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Mar 28
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
Mar 27
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
0
—
—
Ballpark
Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor
0.951
Wind
6 mph from SSW
Temp
69°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:37p
6 ↗
69°
+3
2:37p
6 ↗
68°
+2
3:37p
8 ↗
68°
+3
4:37p
9 ↗
67°
+2
5:37p
9 ↗
67°
+2
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to pull (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.43×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Jun 3
Season
7 HR
56 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 6 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 3.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 43 → 43
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about J.P. Crawford
Will J.P. Crawford hit a home run today?
J.P. Crawford is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #99 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Max Scherzer at Rogers Centre. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does J.P. Crawford hit home runs?
Across 56 scored games this season, J.P. Crawford has 7 home runs — one every 8.0 games, or about 12% of his scored games.
Has J.P. Crawford homered off Max Scherzer before?
Not yet — J.P. Crawford has faced Max Scherzer 7 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.