Isaac Paredes
RHB
HOU
· 128 appearances tracked
15
HRs
11.7%
HR Rate
13.2%
Avg HR/FB
87.0
Avg EV
0.158
ISO
#10
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.163
Avg EV85.9
Barrel%6.4%
HR/FB vs LHP3.6%
Avg HR Dist377
Match%7.8%
Season HR%
11.6%
14D Pace
8.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
59.2%
12
Breaking
27.6%
3
Offspeed
13.2%
2
All
100%
5.0%
17
13.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Zac Thornton · LHP · HOU
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Zac Thornton in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Citi Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
6.4
vs
—
HR/FB
3.6
vs
15.6 ▼ risk
K%
13.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
15 this season · avg 358 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 15
vs DET · Jacob Waguespack
—
94.7
358
HR by month
Jun
All Appearances
128 tracked · 15 HR · 22 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
81.5
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
98.8
2 BIP
Aug 27
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
93.3
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
3
97.8
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ NYY · Will Warren
3
102.3
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs ATH · Brady Basso
4
96.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
3
85.8
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
91.5
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
101.5
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
89.2
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs LAA · George Klassen
2
101.8
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
104.5
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
4
102.4
HR
4 BIP
Aug 14
vs SEA · George Kirby
5
93.5
5 BIP
Aug 12
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
79.1
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
4
100.1
4 BIP
Aug 10
@ SF · Blade Tidwell
4
103.1
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
96.7
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ SD · Michael King
3
109.5
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ SD · Robbie Ray
5
105.3
5 BIP
Aug 4
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
95.7
3 BIP
Aug 3
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
3
92.8
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
81.4
4 BIP
Aug 1
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
93.9
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
101.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
5
101.8
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
3
100.0
3 BIP
Jul 27
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jul 26
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
3
73.9
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
94.9
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
95.7
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
4
102.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 21
vs MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
101.1
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs MIA · Janson Junk
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs BAL · Brandon Young
4
106.2
4 BIP
Jul 18
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
5
106.8
5 BIP
Jul 17
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
3
91.2
3 BIP
Jul 12
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
3
98.7
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
95.0
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
87.7
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
102.1
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
92.2
3 BIP
Jul 6
@ WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
101.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs TB · Mason Englert
4
101.9
HR
4 BIP
Jul 4
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
97.1
4 BIP
Jul 3
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
3
88.2
3 BIP
Jun 29
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
89.4
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
5
103.3
HR
5 BIP
Jun 27
@ DET · Framber Valdez
4
86.9
4 BIP
Jun 26
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
87.0
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ DET · Troy Melton
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jun 24
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
4
95.4
4 BIP
Jun 23
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
4
101.5
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
93.3
2 BIP
Jun 21
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
4
96.4
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
95.7
4 BIP
Jun 19
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
100.0
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
4
96.0
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs DET · Framber Valdez
1
105.0
1 BIP
Jun 15
vs DET · Troy Melton
1
94.7
HR
1 BIP
Jun 13
@ KC · Noah Cameron
3
99.0
3 BIP
Jun 12
@ KC · Luinder Avila
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
104.3
2 BIP
Jun 9
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jun 8
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
4
101.9
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs ATH · Gage Jump
3
92.2
3 BIP
Jun 6
vs ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
4
105.0
4 BIP
Jun 5
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
2
103.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 4
vs PIT · Jared Jones
3
101.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
101.4
HR
3 BIP
Jun 2
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
3
89.4
3 BIP
May 31
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
3
105.9
3 BIP
May 30
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
2
83.8
2 BIP
May 29
vs MIL · Coleman Crow
3
83.6
3 BIP
May 28
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
101.8
HR
3 BIP
May 27
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
52.2
1 BIP
May 26
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
4
93.6
4 BIP
May 25
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
95.2
4 BIP
May 24
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
98.3
4 BIP
May 23
@ CHC · Colin Rea
3
105.1
3 BIP
May 22
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
101.7
4 BIP
May 20
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
87.0
3 BIP
May 18
@ MIN · Kendry Rojas
2
101.3
2 BIP
May 16
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
92.7
4 BIP
May 15
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
99.1
HR
3 BIP
May 14
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
0
—
—
May 13
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
5
96.2
5 BIP
May 12
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
2
91.6
2 BIP
May 11
vs SEA · George Kirby
4
100.9
4 BIP
May 10
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
93.4
3 BIP
May 9
@ CIN · Chase Burns
4
99.6
4 BIP
May 6
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
1
96.7
1 BIP
May 5
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
1
86.9
1 BIP
May 4
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
94.3
2 BIP
May 3
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
97.0
2 BIP
May 2
@ BOS · Connelly Early
4
98.0
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
9
96.3
9 BIP
Apr 29
@ BAL · Chris Bassitt
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ BAL · Shane Baz
3
98.4
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs NYY · Luis Gil
4
101.9
HR
4 BIP
Apr 25
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
4
96.7
4 BIP
Apr 24
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
93.2
3 BIP
Apr 22
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
101.5
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
103.5
3 BIP
Apr 20
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
5
104.1
HR
5 BIP
Apr 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
98.2
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
94.5
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
1
75.0
1 BIP
Apr 16
vs COL · Juan Mejia
1
93.3
1 BIP
Apr 15
vs COL · Jose Quintana
3
82.7
3 BIP
Apr 13
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
105.3
3 BIP
Apr 12
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
101.3
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
4
95.7
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
2
102.6
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
96.9
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
104.6
2 BIP
Apr 6
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
0
—
—
Apr 5
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ ATH · Luis Morales
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
2
93.1
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
96.2
3 BIP
Mar 29
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
4
92.3
4 BIP
Mar 28
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
95.3
3 BIP
Mar 27
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
2
95.2
2 BIP
Mar 26
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
80.7
2 BIP
Ballpark
Citi Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.935
Wind
12 mph from WSW
Temp
79°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
3:10p
12 ↖
79°
+7
4:10p
13 ↖
80°
+6
5:10p
13 ↖
80°
+4
6:10p
11 ↖
80°
+1
7:10p
9 ↖
80°
-1
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from W)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.71×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Aug 23
Season
15 HR
128 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 14 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 3.5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 38 → 38
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Isaac Paredes
Will Isaac Paredes hit a home run today?
Isaac Paredes is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #126 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Zac Thornton at Citi Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Isaac Paredes hit home runs?
Across 128 scored games this season, Isaac Paredes has 15 home runs — one every 8.5 games, or about 12% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.